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$ETH
in its USD pair should still do well even if ethbtc isn't in a bull market (yet).
ATH within the next 2 months
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Staying in the game long enough to win doesn't mean buying every single dip that happens. You don't want to end up with nothing right before the market does a full reversal. Staying at the lows while waiting for the signs to become more aggressive is perfectly acceptable as well. (and depending on your level of expertise, often better)
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I’m not going to lie - I would LOVE to see Bitcoin hold strength and push up here. What’s happening right now in the world is EXACTLY why Bitcoin was created in the first place.
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Bitcoin is a neutral, global commodity without counterparty risk. Zero tariffs. The only commodity with a verifiably limited supply. 21 million forever. Your 0.01 BTC is the same quality as BlacRock's $50b $BTC
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The biggest killer in crypto is the "head in the sand" mentality. This is something I've struggled with this cycle, and has inadvertently cost me millions. When times are good, it's easy to get caught up in euphoria and get complacent in terms of locking in profits/spotting warning signs. When times are bad, it's easy to "bury your head in the sand", not check your portfolio, and get complacent with managing your portfolio - even though these are the times where you really need to be paying attention (spotting opportunities to buy + de-risk when necessary). You need to stay objective at all times and constantly re-evaluate the risks/opportunities. Complacency kills. A recent personal example of such complacency was with the U.S. dollar. I knew Trump's aim was to lower the dollar (specifically yields), I even said it on multiple shows/streams - but didn't hedge enough myself (as a result took a big forex loss). Ultimately it's not your opinions, but your actions which count. Reflecting a bit more personally - I think sometimes I use avoidance as a coping mechanism (i.e. not checking portfolio if it's down), which only makes the problem worse as portfolios require constant management/watering. I'm sure some of you can relate. I don't really agree with the "step away from the screen" takes unless you're full port BTC/stables and chilling. If you hold altcoins, hedge via perps, or do anything active - your attention always has to be active.
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All you need to know about Trump's "Liberation Day", and its impact on markets.👇 What was announced? • Minimum 10% tariffs on all imports, higher rates on the "worst offenders" like China and Vietnam • It appears that the “reciprocal tariff rates” are calculated by dividing the U.S. trade deficit with a country by that country’s exports to the U.S., rather than reflecting actual tariff imposed on U.S. exports Market reaction: • Stocks, oil prices, and currencies like the dollar were hit hard • U.S. equities pre market down -2% • Asian stocks also slightly down today • Crypto held up ok, likely because most of the de-risking had occurred beforehand • Odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 spiked to 50%+ • China has already vowed retaliation, and the EU is planning countermeasures Going forward: • All eyes are on how other nations will retaliate, specifically China • Smaller countries will likely negotiate over the coming days, we're likely to see a longer "hold out" from other global superpowers • Resolution/headlines sooner would be better for markets, the longer it takes the more headwinds Likely going to be a busy next few days.
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