🔎 After vacation research

Ok 14 days out (probably the most interesting 14 days in last year of crypto :sweat_smile: ) and it seems like the whole world turn upside down. Some assets I've had on my watchlist made x5 and more (without me on board ofc) but I'm not sad at all. Actually I still see this as a beginning of what will happen. Why?

Look at the top and worst performers in the last 7 days from top 100 tokens (attached). Do you really think dino coins deserve so much attention? The correct answer is "it depends on timing". Now we're at the time of the "retail onboarding" with news like "Omg BTC almost $100k",... Retail knows mainly these old iliquid dino coins so smarter participants pump them before retail onboard and then dump it for 3x time on their head.

Why main liquidity on CEX is better than on DEX now?

Reasonable projects use DEX AMM usually with equally distributed liquidity. That means if you want to pump $200 mil. mkt cap project with $20 mil. liquidity +100% you need around $10 mil. (well less in fact but it's good as an example).

Now consider the same token that has liquidity only on CEX and his DEX AMM has only $100k liquidity (left there for arbitragers). How much money do you need to make it $1 bil. mkt cap token? It depends at the will of participants and market maker. Once you get into the quick pump the market maker needs to stay delta-neutral and participants are out so you need minimal investment to move it another +10% or so.

How do I see it?

My perception of the current state of the market is simple -> pump iliquid known shit, prepare liquidity and take profit. But where do you rotate that profit once it'll not be so easy to pump & dump it?

Who knows but from my point of view to the utility or meme plays. Better days for fundamental players are coming. Brace yourself, stick to your game and don't sell your high conviction tokens in exchange for some that pumped now - our time will come again 🫡