Looking at it now, it seems difficult for Bitcoin to suddenly rise to $100,000, and it is unlikely in the short term. Although $100,000 seems just a little bit away, the difference in that small distance is actually quite significant. No matter how we analyze it now, whether bearish or shorting, it all seems unconvincing; what we can do is wait.

Bitcoin has risen all the way up from $67,000, hardly pausing in between, basically just shooting up in one breath. This morning it finally pulled back to $95,800, but then turned around and surged again, and now it's almost touching the threshold of $99,000. It's been a few weeks of continuous rises, and the space for further upward movement is getting smaller. I'm not saying Bitcoin can't rise, but the closer it gets to $100,000, those who bought in before may want to withdraw, and those looking to short are starting to increase in number, which could become a stumbling block for Bitcoin's further rise.

Not to mention those grand principles and technical analysis, back at the beginning of the month, Bitcoin was still hovering around $85,000; who would have thought it could bounce up to $99,000? Now everyone feels that Bitcoin will definitely surpass the $100,000 mark, especially after the U.S. elections; if Trump comes to power, it might still be good news for Bitcoin. But you know, when the market is often one-sided, things can easily go in the opposite direction and won’t necessarily follow the majority’s will.

Now that Bitcoin has finally climbed above $99,000, those who bought in before are likely considering retreating. In the price range of $98,000 to $99,000, will you follow and buy? Are you still willing to chase the rise?

So I think Bitcoin might adjust a bit in the short term. Regardless, we need to be cautious around the $98,000 to $99,000 area. If the current price is around $98,700 to $98,800, I would consider shorting first, setting a stop loss above $100,000, and targeting the area around $96,500 to $95,500. We can reassess after reaching that point.

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