The Fed is expected to cut interest rates next month. Once Trump's policy came out, the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut by the end of 2025 were directly halved.

The economy has gone up, inflation has not come down, and the stock market has reached a new height every day. These situations have made the Fed dare not easily make a big move to cut interest rates. Fed Chairman Powell said last week: "The economy has not given us any emergency interest rate cut signals."

Nearly 90% of economists think that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market pricing side, the possibility of a rate cut in December is less than 60%. I still think that the Fed will cut interest rates in December. The data looks okay, but the market thinks that the US economy is too strong and inflation is still high. The Fed is not expected to cut interest rates as much as we thought before, because they have to keep an eye on inflation.

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