The exact probability that The Graph ($GRT ) will reach the price of $2 in 2025 is about 1%.
Currently, the price of GRT is hovering around $0.2-0.3 and even assuming its positive dynamics, most forecasts say that it will not cross the $1 mark in the next 12 months. Moreover, in 2025, the price will likely remain at $0.5-$0.8 per coin. This is clearly not $2, and while 2028 may be more optimistic, $2 prices look very unlikely without a major shift in project demand.
So, the exact probability is about 1-2%. Unless there is some revolutionary development or a surge of interest in DeFi and protocols like GRT, the chances of $2 are not that great.