Good evening, everyone. I am Jifu.

I have to go on a long trip for business in the next few days. If I am quick, I can resume the analysis on the 26th. I have been packing up today and have not had time to write the analysis. I originally wanted to forget it, but since the market is relatively large today, I still wrote down my thoughts before leaving.

1. Just 3 minutes ago, the big cake hit a small high of 99100. I boldly predicted that this should be the high point of the next week. I hope I will not be slapped in the face [laughs]

The current market is an obvious short squeeze market. The increase is indeed much larger than I thought. I originally thought that it would go to 97000 at most, but I didn’t expect it to reach 99000. It seems that there are indeed many people shorting.

However, the end of a market is often ended by violent pull-ups or market crashes, so the current market is undoubtedly the tail of this 4h level. Due to the huge selling volume near 10w, it is hard for me to believe that the main force is willing to go up to the 10w mark in one go, unless the liquidation volume of the 10w mark is attractive enough, but observing the market data, it seems that 9w9 is the concentrated area of ​​liquidation.

2. The current cryptocurrency market is very similar to the situation on October 20, 21, whether it is Bitcoin or other currencies.

3. For Bitcoin, I tend to start from now (3 am on November 22) and go down by 4h level. Even if this move is very mild like in late October 21, it will at least fall below the 86400 line. This 4h level move will probably go to 10 am on December 2.

4. Although on October 21, 21, there was a super large Yin line, forming a Yin-enclosing Yang pattern. But considering that the next two days are weekends, the main decline should be next week.

5. To be honest, I am not panicking at all about the short position of Bitcoin, but I felt something was wrong with the short positions of Ethereum and Sol in the evening, so I sold them immediately. There is a high probability that sol and ether will continue to rise in the next half month. If we refer to the trend in 21 years, the operation logic will be very simple:

$ETH , go long when the daily EMA15/daily line has two consecutive negatives, and the price will be out of the moving average to stop profit. Go long again, and repeat.

$SOL , go long when the daily EMA15 is back, until the price is far away from the moving average to stop profit.

$BTC , first make a 4h down, then make a 4h up.

In terms of exchange rate, starting from October 20, 21, the exchange rate of ether to bitcoin has risen by 70% from the bottom, which can be used as a reference.