Daily Market Analysis (11.09-11.10)

Summary:

1. Beware of a potential crash in the US stock market in mid-December.

2. Multiple times this year, I have suggested buying at low levels. In early September, around 52500, when the entire network was bearish, I indicated that the current position was a 'weekly level buy'. Furthermore, in early September, I clearly stated that by the end of the year, we would break through the all-time high (ATH) and reach 80-90k. All market analyses have been documented. Overall, at least my long positions in Bitcoin have been relatively profitable, so I do not acknowledge that my trend judgment was wrong.

Now, I am indicating the risk of a crash by the end of the year, but you can choose not to believe it. I can only say that it is wise to take profits and secure your gains.

3. Currently, it seems we are making a downward move on the 1-hour chart, targeting 74000. If Bitcoin continues to hover above 76000 tomorrow, Ethereum is expected to rise above 3100, providing the first opportunity for a short position in the past few days.

4. Currently, this upward move on the daily chart still requires 2 more structures on the 1-hour chart and 2 on the 4-hour chart.

5. Historical peak timing.

6. Regarding Ethereum's catch-up rally.

7. Regarding contract trading.

In terms of operations:

1. Holding short position $BTC , target 74000, short position $ETH 3111, defending at 3151, target 2820.

2. For Bitcoin, if it pulls back to 73500, aggressively go long, defending at 72700. For Ethereum, if it pulls back to 2800, aggressively go long, defending at 2760. For position $SOL , if it pulls back to 192.5, aggressively go long, defending at 188.5.

3. If aggressive long positions are stopped out, re-enter around Bitcoin 71200, and similarly for Ethereum and SOL.

4. Some altcoins have already broken through the 4-hour MA/EMA 250; after a pullback, go long. Short-term longs, mid-term longs, execute two trades. Be cautious with short-term shorts; for mid-term shorts, choose small-cap coins that haven't broken through the MA 250, relying on the 4-hour MA/EMA 250 for advance limit orders.