Is 2025 a frenzied bull market?

Now, the consensus among most people is that the cryptocurrency market will experience a bull market in 2024 and 2025, but some believe: if everyone thinks the next two years will be a bull market, will the bull market still come?

First, the conclusion: Yes.

There is no secret to trading; broadly speaking, people have been trading since birth, constantly weighing choices and consequences. Some may find this a bit vague, but when it comes to financial trading, particularly in cryptocurrency trading, it becomes even simpler: seasons come and go, full moons must wane, and the sun rises and sets; these are the laws of nature.

The market's transition between bull and bear is similar; when the timeline is extended, these patterns are easy to grasp. A bull market isn't born in a day, nor does a bear market end in a day. Traders shouldn't pursue the absolute lowest point; such a point may only exist for a few seconds. For example, during the last bull market, not many managed to catch the low at 312 or 3800. Looking back now, buying in at 4000-6000 can be considered relatively low for the last bear market, which is normal.

Now, let's focus on: Is 2025 a bull market?

The general consensus is that 2025 will be a frenzied bull market, and I've also seen many voices of skepticism, such as: Everyone knows there will be a bull market in 2025, so will the bull come as everyone wishes? If everyone knows there will be a bull market in 2025, doesn't that mean everyone has already made money?

In response to this, I previously mentioned 'the unity of knowledge and action'; knowing is one thing, but being able to act on that knowledge is crucial. After all, ancient emperors had no personal matters, and today we have decentralized transparency, which everyone can see, so knowing isn't difficult; that's one point.

Secondly, I've mentioned that the current major cryptocurrency does not yet have the ability to dominate the market and rise against the trend in the entire financial trading landscape. Thus, the long-term trend of major cryptocurrencies is closely related to the macroeconomic environment. How do bulls come about? By injecting liquidity. How do they move? By raising interest rates. The previous known cycles of bull and bear markets have all followed this pattern. #山寨季将至？