How will the market trend in the future?
Let's review the BTC market trend. Starting in November, Trump's victory probability began to decline while Harris's probability started to rise, followed by a decline in Bitcoin's price from its peak.
From this set of data, we conclude:
When Trump's victory probability is high, it is positive for the crypto market, and Bitcoin's price rises.
When Harris's victory probability is high, it is negative for the crypto market, and Bitcoin's price falls.
This reflects market sentiment. Of course, I do not understand politics or the conditions in the United States, and I also believe politics is dark, even darker than the financial market. The dark maneuvers involved are unknown to us. However, I understand trading and market sentiment, which can genuinely help our trading ideas.
Historically, after every election, the risk market tends to continue to rise for about three months. I believe this time will be no exception, especially since there will be promises from the 'President.' Therefore, I think there may be some short-term volatility, but if Trump is elected, there will be better expectations.
First, we need to understand why Bitcoin's price rises when Trump's victory probability increases.
It's because Trump promised many crypto-friendly policies while campaigning, aligning himself with crypto users. Therefore, the market believes that Trump's election will bring new support to the crypto market, driving the price of coins up.
After Trump's victory, the market sentiment in the crypto space will first be released, pushing prices to surge in the short term, but the sustainability won't be strong (after all, it's driven by sentiment). Then early profit-takers will begin to exit, leading to a price decline as sentiment fades, entering a phase of adjustment while waiting for the market to choose a new direction. (Refer to the BTC ETF during that market period)
We are about to witness an unprecedented bull market, a luxurious bull market with Trump + Musk supporting crypto, and CZ's return. We will meet at the peak!
Congratulations to the fans who got in early with doge, sol, ordi, sui, and ena, achieving great success!
The same news, the same layout, the same opportunities, fans get priority.
Next Monday, I will lead fans to position in potential explosive coins, doubling your investment will be simple.
At the same time, I am looking for meme coins on the Solana chain, aiming to profit 30 times by the end of next year's bull market.
Follow Brother Qiang for guidance on your trading.
