In today's complex and ever-changing world situation, the US election is undoubtedly one of the focuses of global attention. In the 2024 US election, whether Trump can be elected has become a highly watched issue, and a series of actions by Musk, the world's richest man, have added many variables to this election.

Musk's betting his entire fortune on Trump may seem extreme, but there are deeper reasons for it. Judging from his own statement, if he fails, he will face serious consequences, including jail time and the possibility of losing the opportunity to see his children. However, he still stands firmly on Trump's side. This determination is not only reflected in his personal speeches on stage to canvass for votes, but also in his huge investment in winning swing states.

According to US media reports, Musk has taken a series of eye-catching measures to increase Trump's chances of winning in swing states. He used monetary incentives to attract people to sign petitions. In some areas, signing a petition can get rewards of varying amounts, such as $47 in some places, and even $100 in Pennsylvania. In addition, he also took out $1 million for a lottery every day, and anyone who signed the petition had a chance to win. This approach quickly caused a sensation across the United States, and voting enthusiasm in the seven swing states was unprecedentedly high.

Some people questioned whether this was vote buying, and the Democratic Party also raised similar questions, believing that this insulted the fairness of the US election. But from a legal perspective, Musk's operation was legal. Because he did not directly spend money to get people to vote for Trump, but asked people to sign a petition supporting freedom of speech and the right to bear arms. These rights are legitimate rights written into the US Constitution, so it is difficult for the US judicial department to find a handle.

So, what is the significance of Musk's doing this? In the United States, most people who support gun rights are conservative voters, and they are potential supporters of the Republican Party. Musk uses this method of giving money to screen, on the one hand, he can directly pull some of the wavering people to support Trump, and on the other hand, he can also obtain these people's contact information for further campaign-related operations.

Judging from the pattern of the US election, both the Democratic Party and the Republican Party have their own strong voter bases, and the key to each election is often in the swing states. Musk's series of actions are almost openly hostile to the entire Democratic Party. If Trump is successfully elected, he may be able to avoid some unfavorable situations; but if Harris is elected, Musk's future may be very miserable.

Musk supports Trump for many reasons. First, some of the Democratic Party's practices in election strategies have caused him concern. In recent years, the Democratic Party has been sending a large number of illegal immigrants to swing states and promising to give them legal status in exchange for votes. This behind-the-scenes approach has broken the balance of the US election, causing the originally competitive swing states to gradually lean towards the Democratic Party. If this trend continues, the Republican Party may be increasingly at a disadvantage in future elections, and may even lead to the final formation of a one-party state in the United States. The political system that has been maintained in the United States for hundreds of years may fall apart, leading to a major outbreak of internal conflicts and even civil war. Even if there is no civil war, if the Democratic Party is in power for a long time, its policy propositions will have a significant impact on Musk. The Democratic Party advocates raising taxes on the rich and likes to restrict the development of fields such as cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence, which are exactly important parts of Musk's business. Once the Democratic Party continues to govern, Musk himself will be greatly restricted in terms of money and technological development, just like wearing a tight hoop.

From the perspective of global economic and political trends, the future trend of deglobalization is also an important factor for Musk to consider. Although globalization has enabled countries around the world to achieve rapid economic development to a certain extent in the past few decades, it has also brought some disadvantages. Take the United States as an example. With the advancement of globalization, a large number of industries in the northern United States have been transferred to Asia, resulting in many American workers losing their jobs. Due to their education and other reasons, these workers face difficult choices. They either try to engage in high-income but extremely low-probability jobs, such as finance, lawyers, doctors, etc., or switch to some hard and low-income jobs, such as truck drivers, restaurant waiters, etc., and some people even become homeless. This situation has exacerbated the gap between the rich and the poor in American society and the contradictions have become increasingly acute. After Trump came to power, he put forward the slogan of "America First" and opposed globalization. His views have been supported by many grassroots people in the United States, especially the "redneck" group. Europe is also facing a similar situation. With the outsourcing of manufacturing caused by globalization, Europe has also shown a collective rightward trend. At present, in order to alleviate the problems brought about by globalization, the West has taken measures to establish trade barriers and anti-globalization, trying to bring back manufacturing and alleviate the unemployment of the bottom people in the country. This is also the root cause of the crazy tariff increase and trade wars in various countries. In more extreme cases, wars will even be launched to divert conflicts. As the world's richest man with a huge business empire, Musk clearly sees this trend. He believes that only by letting the relatively conservative Trump come to power can he better deal with this situation, because Trump can temporarily suppress the "redneck" group at the bottom of the United States, so that he has enough time and space to make strategic arrangements. Otherwise, if the Democrats come to power, his investment in artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, satellite Internet and other fields may be greatly restricted.

Although Musk was very resolute in supporting Trump's actions, he also left himself some ways out. For example, his mother has come to Shanghai, and he himself has a large-scale factory in Shanghai. This shows that when he made decisions, although he made comprehensive considerations of his own interests and the future situation of the United States, he did not completely ignore the possible risks.

Musk's support for Trump takes place against a backdrop of complex U.S. politics, economy, and global trends. His decision not only involves the fairness of the U.S. election and the evolution of the political landscape, but is also closely related to global economic development trends and his own business interests. The final outcome of the U.S. election will not only determine the future political direction of the United States, but may also have a profound impact on the global economic and political landscape.#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌?