CoinVoice has recently learned that, according to Coindesk, Polymarket data shows that the probability of Trump winning has now dropped to 62% (previously peaked at 67%). Some observers believe that the rise in odds reflects a hedging position among traders, as they are hedging risks by betting on Harris winning due to earlier reports of 'voting irregularities involving Trump.'
Researchers have pointed out that if traders can access both Robinhood Securities and Polymarket simultaneously, there is currently a good arbitrage opportunity. Users can bet on Trump winning on Robinhood and bet on Harris on Polymarket, and regardless of who wins, they will profit (the chance of Harris winning on Robinhood Securities is relatively higher compared to Polymarket). [Original link]