According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 94.8%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 5.2%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 27.1%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 71.6%.
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