#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ $BTC $ETH $BNB #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ This round of CPI, a brief talk about the future market, let me tell you my opinion~

The key is the rate cut! The CPI in August is better than the market expectation of 2.6%, such as 2.5%/2.3%. What does it mean? It means that inflation has dropped significantly, and the Fed is right to raise interest rates. It does not rule out a 50 basis point rate cut, at least the market will think so. It will directly push up Bitcoin to break through.

Secondly, if the announced value is between 2.6% and 2.9%, it is not as low as expected, which will be bearish for Bitcoin, but it will be lower than 2.9% last month, so there will be a negative impact without a fall, and it will go out of the style of falling first and then rising. (This is like non-agricultural data: smaller than expected, stronger than last month, first up and then down)

Based on this round of data, I think it is biased between 32.6% and 2.9%. The impact of August CPI on the market should not be as great as before. If the interest rate cut is a done deal, it will only affect short-term sentiment and expectations. If it is in the range of 2.6% to 2.9%, then Bitcoin should fall first and then rise, with the data being bearish but not falling. In other words, no matter how it is released, the possibility of a big drop is low.

Now, returning to the high point area of ​​non-agricultural data, it is close to the previous high point. If you want to go long now, you must wait for a drop before the US market to form an illusion of effective pressure. Otherwise, breaking the previous high point will indicate that the expected fall may occur after the data.

Considering the rhythm and amplitude of the day, the operation of CPI tonight is likely to fall first and then rise. If it falls back before the US market, you can consider entering the market in batches. As long as it does not fall below 55,000, it is above it, then it is long, looking at the 59,500 area.

The last round of non-agricultural data gave everyone a 3,000-yuan unilateral trend, with a hint of rising first and then falling. Tonight, I will continue to provide timely guidance on the front line and give instructions on the current price. If you can't tell the long and short positions, can't recognize trend signals, can't distinguish the news, just look for Jianhua Road! Let's fly together in the sky of the cryptocurrency circle!