Compared with various regulations and policies in the stock market, it is easy to become a banker in the currency circle.
The only people who can easily make big money in the secondary market are bookmakers. It is impossible for retail investors to defeat the bankers. From any dimension, the bankers have the advantage of crushing them. If retail investors make money, they do not defeat the banker, they just drink soup while the banker eats meat. Despite this, only a small number of retail investors can make money every time, because the banker will not allow most retail investors to make money. What the bankers want to harvest are "most retail investors".
In addition to having trading skills and funds to control the market, you must first have chips. This is a prerequisite.
There are two situations:
You are the issuer, so naturally most of the chips are in your hands, and you sit in the banker and play by yourself. This situation is basically a long banker, pulling up, distributing, smashing the market, and accumulating money, and the cycle repeats. There may be traces of trading techniques. It follows that after all, the same group of people are in control.
The skilled "big hot money" looks for targets in the market, collects chips to play short-term, and moves in and out quickly. This situation is a little more complicated. They need to find a suitable target, collect enough chips in a short period of time, and then complete the promotion and distribution. The method is generally more aggressive.
However, in the currency market, the first situation is generally the main one, and the probability of the second situation is much lower than that in the stock market. The reason is that the currency market does not have many restrictions such as policy and regulatory supervision and lock-up periods like the stock market. Generally speaking, hot money does not dare to run wild on other people's territory. After all, the issuer of the currency market may have no bottom line. If you dare to grab the funds, I will throw them all to you.
No matter what the situation is, collecting money is the first step to becoming a banker. Only when the chips are collected and there are not many chips from outside retail investors and there is not much selling pressure, will the conditions be met for the price to rise. Only through the path of raising prices can it be possible to achieve profit distribution after raising prices.
So how to pull it up?
If you plan to raise the price from 10 yuan to 11 yuan, just scan the goods and buy them. If you eat all the orders from 10 to 11, you will increase the price by 10 points. If there are not many orders on it, you can even create a "large-volume pull" The illusion of "rising" is nothing more than placing some sell orders in advance and just reverse them.
Therefore, trading volume is not important, especially in the currency market, which can be achieved through techniques. If you are afraid that your reverse orders will be too large and give retail investors the bad impression that excessive selling pressure may prevent the market from rising, you can hide them all by placing iceberg orders.
Distribution is not difficult
After 10 yuan rises to 20 yuan, if the K-line shape is better, some retail investors who will naturally chase the increase may come in, and more often, off-market partners will arrange retail investors to take over the orders, so hang them in the target area. Just let them buy the sell order, and then according to the intensity of retail investors' buying, they will place large orders to hit the market. 90% of the chip transfer occurs at this stage.
Raising funds is the most difficult thing
The current price is 10 yuan, and I plan to buy 100 million U. Only if I can buy all of them, the price will still be 10 yuan or even lower, will I be able to do that. If you buy it directly, the price may be tens of dollars when you finish buying it, and there will be a large number of retail investors' chips that follow up at low prices.
Accumulating funds requires superb market control skills. You can influence the minds of retail investors by controlling the rise and fall of the market, so that they can obediently hand over their bloody chips under your control. If the fund-raising work is done well, then the vast majority of the high-level chips will be cut off at low levels and transferred to the hands of the dealer. There will not be much resistance when the market moves up in the future, and the success rate will be guaranteed.
For bookmakers, especially Changzhuang, it doesn't matter whether the price is high or low. After all, they have absolute control over the market and play in a cycle. Just like it doesn't matter how high you pull it, it's easy to pull it 10,000 times as much as you want. The point is, how much money will be available to buy after the price is raised?
If you want to better attract funds, you must let retail investors carve out their chips.
There are only three types of market trends: up, down, and sideways. There are no more than three methods of collecting funds: ups and downs.
Smashing the market makes some retail investors who are afraid of further losses become discouraged and reluctantly cut their flesh;
Sideways trading makes some retail investors who feel that opportunity costs are important lose their patience and trade money for money;
The rise has allowed some retail investors who feel that there is a rare opportunity to escape to take a chance and get out of the game.
The real stage of collecting funds is the permutation and combination of these three techniques. If one round of combination punches doesn't work, then come back to the second and third rounds. For the vast majority of retail investors, this is hell. After the dealer cashes out the distribution at the top, many chips bought at a high position will admit losses and get out of the market midway down the market. Once the drop is too large, many retail investors will choose to hang on and wait for a small rebound. Those "unfirm" retail investors left the market, and then continued to plummet and continue to rebound. In the end, those who remained unmoved no matter whether it was up or down were those who were determined to live and die with the bankers and pretended to be dead. So, they used The sideways trading consumes their patience, and small rebounds and big plunges are sandwiched in between in an attempt to stimulate their emotions.
Why are there long periods of bottom torture before many big market trends? This is the reason. It will take a lot of time to deal with the last group of die-hards and force them to hand over their chips. The cleaner the chips are washed, the smoother and safer the subsequent promotion and distribution stages will be, with less resistance and the highest success rate. This is the stage that most tests the banker's ability.
The most powerful trader must be a master of retail investor mentality management.
They know which market is best for retail investors to use at the moment, whether it is rising, falling or sideways. Generally speaking, among the retail investors who have been eliminated by the combination punch, the "down" effect is the best, 60% of the retail investors can be eliminated, the "up" can eliminate 30%, and the "horizontal" can eliminate 10% , there will always be a small group of psoriasis in the end, no matter how hard it is, there is nothing you can do. This risk can never be eliminated 100%, it can only be allowed to exist.
Accidents sometimes happen during the fundraising stage
During the fund-raising stage of the banker, it is not ruled out that there will be continued selling and washing due to too much floating chips, but generally the range of the selling will not exceed 20%. If the selling is too deep, the risk for the banker will increase sharply. It's very simple. The average cost of the chips collected by the banker now is 10 yuan. If the price drops to 8 yuan, the banker must be in a state of floating losses. This loss is not afraid of. After all, the market is under your control, and the price can be pulled back at any time. The purpose of killing is to make retail investors who were previously unwilling to cut their meat continue to panic and cut their meat.
But if not only the effect of retail investors' flight is not ideal at this time, but there are large funds to buy, it will be very embarrassing. Their cost will be much lower than that of the bankers. It is absolutely impossible to raise the price in the future, otherwise they will be bitten. I want to take a big bite of meat, but I don't dare to kill because I don't know the details of the big money. I'm afraid that the more I kill, the more I buy, which will make me more passive. We can only use sideways trading and small pull and small kill shocks to make the bottom-hunting funds lose their patience and squeeze them away. Once this situation occurs, the market maker's trading space will be greatly compressed.
Of course, even if you don't reach 20% below the banker's cost line, there is still the possibility of being bought by big funds. However, if you encounter it near or above the cost line, the banker's trading space will be much larger. Would be so passive.
The ideal situation is that after most of the accumulation is completed, you will quickly pull away from the cost area. For example, you can play tricks at about 20% above the cost area to prepare for the start of the big market, so that the trading space will be much larger.
So how to discover the banker's accumulation stage?
There are many methods here, such as looking at pending orders, looking at K-line patterns, and looking at trading volume. . . Wait, among them, the most important, easiest to explain clearly, and easiest to master is to look at the trading volume.
Some people may say that the previous article said that trading volume is not important? If you have this kind of thinking, you are probably not suitable for trading, because your thinking is not good. In the pull-up stage, the trading volume is indeed not important. In order to make the market look better, the dealer can increase the trading volume by reversing at any time.
Remember: if you falsify trading volume, you can only make small trading volumes larger, but you cannot make large trading volumes smaller.
In the fund-raising stage of the banker's position, a large number of retail investors' chips must be acquired in the shortest possible time at a relatively low level, and the trading volume must not be small. If the dealers do not enter the market to collect chips and only rely on the disorderly trading of retail investors in the market, then the daily trading volume will be in a state of shrinkage on most trading days, and many currencies will be in a state of shrinkage sideways or negative decline for a long time. , or follow the volume and price fluctuations of Bitcoin. Once the dealers start to participate, the situation immediately becomes different. For example, the instructions received by 5 traders are that each of them must enter 1 million U today. You have to buy the chips in the market with real guns and ammunition for these millions of U. Once you put them into the market, you don't care whether the price will change or not. Therefore, fluctuations are not important. Then today’s trading volume immediately increased by 5 million U. Can this be faked? cannot. Of course, if the Buddhist type is the banker and only collects 10,000 U every day, and it takes several years to accumulate funds, then the trading volume will indeed be impossible to track. But I estimate that few bookmakers have this patience, and no bookmaker will do this, because it makes no sense.
Therefore, if you find that a certain product has been at a relatively low level for a long period of time, and the trading volume is enlarging in an orderly manner, then it is very likely that the dealer is collecting funds. This “relatively low position” will be discussed later.
At this time, we need to further focus on observation. In a large aspect, observe the K-line shape, and in a small aspect, observe the status of pending orders. Through comprehensive mutual verification through other technical means, an accurate judgment can be roughly reached. As long as the dealer is collecting money, there will always be clues. It depends on whether you have the ability to discover them.
For example, when watching the market, many people will accidentally find that a certain variety and a certain period of time often have the same number of consecutive orders, such as 1,218 consecutive buy orders. In fact, this is not accidental. You must know that operations The day-to-day work of traders is very boring and hard. They just keep placing orders. It is not their turn to make trading plans. The trading plans are formulated by the main trader. They are often only responsible for the basic actions of placing orders and completing transactions. Most of the time, they will be asked to enter random numbers to complete the transaction volume of their pending orders, but often some people will enter the same amount continuously, whether they can't help it, looking for excitement, or inadvertently. After all, entering The same number is a simple thing that does not require thinking, but continuously inputting different numbers requires some brain cells, which will not be easy after a long time. This number may be his birthday, or bank card password, or the date of the day. Retail investors only need a small amount of money, and the transaction is completed in one transaction. Even if it is divided into several or even multiple transactions, there is a high probability that it will not be divided into consecutive and identical non-integer orders.
After collecting funds, there is the promotion stage.
If a certain variety that has been tracking before is likely to have experienced an accumulation stage, then after starting to pull up now, it is natural that the state for a long time before was at a "relatively low level", although we could not be sure at that time that it was Relatively low. It is relatively low and can only be determined by looking back.
Why not enter the market when you find the banker's accumulation stage? But should we wait until the pull-up stage to enter the market? Although entering at this time has a great cost advantage, it is actually not necessary, because if you rush to raise funds during the banker's fundraising stage, the amount of funds will be large, and the banker's purpose is to get rid of the guys who are rushing to raise funds. It is unlikely that the market will start if it comes out. Even if it means being killed a little bit to clear the table, it is unbearable. After all, they are the home court. At the same time, even if the amount of funds is not large, the start-up time is uncertain, which may waste a lot of time and opportunity costs.
Therefore, the best time to intervene is not the banker's fund-raising stage, but the transition stage from fund-raising to promotion after the banker has completed the fund-raising!
When it comes to intervention at this stage, due to many cost restrictions and considerations, the banker is likely to be ready and has no choice but to make a move, so retail investors have a good chance of winning.
After understanding the logic behind it, it is not difficult to make money.
If retail investors want to make money, they can only take a sip of soup during the transition stage from fund-raising to promotion.
This stage has a very high gambling rate, because at this stage, at least before reaching the "threshold" of the dealer's increase, its main theme is to rise. The "pull-up stage" is a period of time, which may last only half a day for short-term dealers, while the pull-up stage of most bookmakers may last for weeks or even months. This period is always mixed with big rises and small falls, and the overall trend is upward. Or spiral upward.
After discovering a currency at this stage, can we ensure that we can make money from trading? Obviously, investing is not that simple, because trading is a game of probability. There is a high probability of success and a small probability of failure. Nothing is ever 100%.
The essence of all excellent trading techniques is: embrace high probability and guard against small probability.
There is a small probability that the dealer suddenly stops raising prices and even starts to smash the market. It may be because they noticed an abnormality in the market, or it may not be the case, it may be because they are trying to smash the market and wash it out, or there may even be a problem within the trading team. There are various possibilities. Logically speaking, if there were no such small probabilities, the transaction would become much simpler: buy directly, wait for the dealer to pull up, and do not move no matter how the market fluctuates, just advance and retreat with the dealer.
Unfortunately, the small probability will always exist. If you stud every time and live and die with the dealer every time, the success rate of the transaction may be very high#token2049 , and the profit will be more generous every time. The problem is , as time accumulates, small probability will become high probability, chance will become inevitable, and there will always be a time when it will sink to the bottom of the sea with a certain banker.
因此,只要在吸筹到拉升的转换阶段买入,并且截断了风险,那么庄家也拿你没办法。#TRB #注意资金安全 #带你看看币安Launchpad #带你看看币安Launchpad #BTC
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