The Sahm Rule, a reliable recession predictor, just hit 0.53. Historically, this has always signaled an imminent recession. Here’s a breakdown:
- Historical Context 📉
- When the Sahm Rule reaches this level, a recession has always followed.
- It’s no longer a question of if, but when the U.S. will enter a recession.
- Market Reactions 💹
- According to the Financial Times, financial markets are already feeling the impact.
- Investors are showing increased caution as economic signals weaken.
- My Perspective 💭
- In my opinion, the U.S. is already in a recession.
- Indicators like slowing growth, rising unemployment claims, and reduced consumer confidence suggest we’re already there.
- What’s Next? 🤔
- Will the Fed's policies soften the blow, or are we headed for a deeper downturn?
- How are you preparing for the potential economic challenges ahead?
Let's discuss! Do you think the recession has already started, or is there still hope for a soft landing?