Let’s get straight to the core issue! Here are the two forecast directions:
1. In the short term, the price may pull back to the 50,000 level. Over the next two weeks, BTC is likely to slip closer to the 50,000 level.
2. Why is there such a decline expectation? The following is the basis for analysis and is for reference only:
Geopolitical Tensions Continue: Tensions are growing in the Middle East, with Iran and Hezbollah continuing to show hostility toward Israel.
This rise in geopolitical risks often leads investors to seek safe havens. Risky assets such as BTC may be the first to be affected, and prices may fluctuate.
1. The impact of Japan’s tightening of monetary policy: Previously, due to Japan’s low borrowing costs, some funds would flow to high-risk, high-yield investments such as BTC. However, as Japan’s monetary policy tightens, this flow of funds may decrease, affecting the market demand for BTC.
2. Dynamic uncertainty of Mentougou Exchange: Mentioning the once-bankrupt Mentougou Exchange, its BTC holdings have recently changed.
3. Although it has not yet caused significant market impact, once it transfers BTC on a large scale, it is likely to cause market instability and price fluctuations.
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