Trump's chance of winning is basically the same as Harris's at present.
Before the results of each election come out, the U.S. stock market has to go through adjustments. This is the result of uncertainty leading to capital withdrawal.
Trump's political propositions can be simply summarized as: adding tariffs (unfavorable to China); weakening financial supervision (good for cryptocurrencies and stocks); loosening the money supply. Of course, even if Harris is elected, she cannot escape loosening the money supply, but she is more conservative and the intensity is not that great.
Trump's shooting incident was not used well. If it happened after Harris took office, then this chosen son would be stable. Unfortunately, Biden kept a big one and launched Harris only after Trump's big moves were released, catching him off guard.
This 50% winning rate has great uncertainty, and the financial market will usher in adjustments during this period. There is no need to wait for the election results to come out. As the final results gradually surface and the certainty increases, there will be capital rushing and the market will gradually warm up. And what we need to do during this period of time is to buy, manage funds well, choose the target, and wait for the wind to come.
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