The core theory of the "Sam Rule" is that when the three-month average of the unemployment rate is 0.5 percentage points higher than the 12-month low, it usually means that the economy is already in recession.
The core theory of the "Sam Rule" is that when the three-month average of the unemployment rate is 0.5 percentage points higher than the 12-month low, it usually means that the economy is already in recession.