In the next week, I look forward to the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting.
Let's see how the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this time.
Two ways of interest rate cuts: defensive interest rate cuts and active interest rate cuts, bring different results
Defensive interest rate cuts represent a hard landing of the US economy
Active interest rate cuts represent a soft landing of the US economy.
And most of the interest rate cuts in history were defensive interest rate cuts.
The characteristic of this type is that it has a great impact on the economy, so defensive interest rate cuts bring a wave of more than half a year of big plunges to the risk market, and then there will be a big bull.
The whole process is faster than the interest rate hike cycle.
So, for the current state of US economic data, it is not yet bad enough to collapse, so if there is a real interest rate cut in September, it may be an active interest rate cut.
