According to TechFlow, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 93.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.7%.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September is 0%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 89.6%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 10.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 0.3%.