It's Monday soon, so I'll tell you about the market.

Some people asked me why I'm so accurate in predicting the trend of Bitcoin. I never look at the K-line because I understand the reasons for the rise and fall of Bitcoin. But unfortunately, I'm losing a lot of money on altcoins now. But I feel that only by analyzing the market of Bitcoin can you touch altcoins.

I recommend that you don't play short-term contracts. Although I open contracts because I have a lot of margin as support. Contracts are tools for market makers to harvest and survive. The more anxious you are, the easier it is to die.

As the US dollar enters a rate cut cycle, Bitcoin is likely to rise, and the rise process will be very complicated. In the past, the exchange, that is, a certain degree of control, has handed over a certain control to American capital, and American capital has also created a Bitcoin ETF to greatly increase the audience of Bitcoin. This is preparing to reap the leeks of the whole world, and the harvesting method is very simple, which is to increase shipments and trap the global leeks at a high level. After the halving of Bitcoin, the theoretical high point has not been reached and it has fluctuated repeatedly at a high level. What it is waiting for is the Fed's interest rate cut assistance. The probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in September is 100%. American capital will definitely take the opportunity to explode Bitcoin, from September to the end of 2025. Such a long interest rate cut cycle is enough for Bitcoin to have a super rise. As long as you hold the spot, you will most likely make a huge profit. Stay away from perpetual contracts to stay away from liquidation! After the theoretical high point is reached, it depends on who runs faster. Generally, after the theoretical high point is reached, there will be a sharp drop, which is the stage of whales recovering chips. When the chips in the hands of retail investors are reduced to a certain proportion, they will rise again and enter the stage of chip distribution. The rise and fall of Bitcoin is essentially the chip distribution of whales, chip recovery, and Bitcoin plummeting. By tracking the changes in the chips of whales and retail investors through on-chain data, it is possible to determine the trend of Bitcoin price changes with a high probability. In my personal opinion, for reference only, Bitcoin is an extremely high-risk investment.

Finally, let's talk about $ETH . The ETH and BTC trading pairs look super bullish.

It is certain that the ETF will rise sharply after passing next week