Thoughts on "Principles of Professional Speculation" - How to overcome false self-esteem
Idealized self-image and pursuit of glory are the products of imagination, and can only be maintained through the continuous operation of imagination. Using imagination in this way will become a tool for self-deception and finding rational excuses.
For example, for most people, they care about "being right" more than the truth of the facts. When you face an unfavorable trend, you often have a sense of unfairness and luck. The desire has been transformed into a request for reality.