I have gained a lot of trading experience in the past two years. Now I will talk about related content, and the way of expression will change.
I think high certainty is not closely related to right-side trading. To achieve high certainty, you have to abandon the profit and loss ratio. For example, if you set a stop loss of 10,000 points to make 1,000 points, it seems that you can win, but if you lose, you will be liquidated, and 90% of traders actually do this.
The stop loss of right-side trading is small, and it is difficult to get a high winning rate. A winning rate of 20-30% can break even, and a winning rate of 45-55% can make stable profits.
There is a difference in the perception of high winning rate between veterans and novices. It is inappropriate to mention "high winning rate" in the early stage, and we will talk about "low winning rate trading model" in the future.
The moving average is auxiliary and risk control. The structural form and price behavior are equally important and mutually supportive as the moving average. The emphasis on the moving average before made investors ignore the importance of structural form and price behavior.