【Mentougou Selling Pressure Analysis - My Opinion】
This article analyzes the selling pressure when the one-time repayment ratio is 30%, 50% and 70%, covering the situations of 1 month, 2 months and 3 months in each case.
The conclusions drawn by the article are as follows:
1. There may be selling pressure within one month, and the price of Bitcoin may fall further.
2. Selling pressure still exists within 2 to 3 months, and it is expected that no obvious main rising wave will appear in the short term.
3. The actual selling pressure has not yet fully manifested in the market.
These conclusions are based on several prerequisites: first, the current ETF inflow maintains the existing trend; second, retail funds maintain the existing trend; third, the selling pressure of 1 month, 2 months and 3 months is considered.
In my opinion, conclusion 2 or 3 is more likely.
First, the debt trading market mentioned in the article provides a large number of exit opportunities during the long litigation process, which may attract more investors who hold Bitcoin for a long time rather than short-term paper hands.
Secondly, combined with the current macroeconomic environment, including expectations of interest rate cuts and financial liquidity conditions, future market trends may be better than the research institute's analysis.
It is more likely that the market will fluctuate and rise. If there are more good news in the coming months, such as favorable cryptocurrency policies promoted by Trump, the market situation may improve further.
The overall atmosphere feels: the cold winter is over and early spring is coming, although there may still be some cold days. Let us wait for the arrival of the blooming spring.
I don't know what to do in the current market, click on my avatar, follow me to see the introduction, bull market spot planning, contract password, free sharing
