The Chain Reaction of "Carrot Run"
A few days ago, I was traveling in another city and got off the taxi early because I was scared...
Because the driver and I talked about "Carrot Run".
The more than 1,000 driverless vehicles deployed in Wuhan have completed more than 6 million orders in just a few months, and the market is growing at an astonishing rate.
This threatens the jobs of many people, and drivers in Wuhan are also protesting jointly.
Unexpectedly, when we talked about this, the driver got very excited and said that if the driverless car dared to come, he would smash it. Letting machines replace people and let ordinary people lose their jobs and starve to death, is this the meaning of technological development?
He became more and more angry, saying that those who are barefoot are not afraid of those who wear shoes, and the worst that can happen is that they will "die together"!
I was a little scared, so I found an excuse to get off the bus in advance...
When it comes to AI driving, I think as a consumer, I am subconsciously excited: for a 10-kilometer journey in Wuhan, an ordinary online car-hailing car costs 18 to 30 yuan, but Luobo Kuaipao only costs 4 to 6 yuan.
No need to take detours, endure awkward conversations with strange smells, or be forced to share a ride, or even worry about encountering bad people. This improves the travel experience and increases social benefits.
But there are two sides to the same coin. A 2023 McKinsey research report stated that artificial intelligence will replace more than half of the world's jobs between 2030 and 2060.
Not only driverless cars, but all repetitive basic work we can think of may be replaced by AI.
So the scary point appears: taking "Carrot Run" as an example, AI's dimensionality reduction attack was too sudden, leaving no time for ordinary people to transition.
The current economy is sluggish and unemployment is sweeping the country. People don’t want to work in basic industries, but have to do it.
If we think optimistically, if productivity is greatly enhanced and the excess profits are reasonably distributed to the people, the lower classes will be liberated and everyone will be able to enjoy the fruits of science and technology, which will benefit all mankind.
But if ordinary people do not have a fair opportunity for secondary distribution, the fruits of production are all put into the pockets of capital, and the cattle and horses are useless and are destined to be eliminated.
If the last chance of survival is taken away, and the source of income is lost, how can we solve the social problems caused by the surge in pressure?
But the trend is unstoppable.
Never in history has the progress of science and technology been stopped because of public protest.
The weavers protested against the spinning jenny, and the coachmen protested against the motor vehicles, but to no avail.
When the times abandon a person, it never says goodbye. If he is not on the car of history, he is under the wheels.
so:
1. We all need to think carefully about how to improve our irreplaceability in the AI era: such as learning creative work and hard skills (maintenance, decoration, etc.)
2. At the same time, I also understand why we should go out less and gather less in the next one to three years. Brothers who focus on themselves and are good at making money on the K-line should stay at home to watch the market and learn money-making skills. Do not argue with others, and protect your home and wealth.
Because for every person we meet when we go out, we don’t know what he has been through or what kind of emotion he is in.
Everyone should be more cautious and open fewer contracts, otherwise you will get liquidated in the future, and even Didi and Meituan will be gone...
