The market currently has high expectations for interest rate cuts in September and November. Based on this, two possible market trends can be foreseen:
First, if the ETF is passed in July or August and the interest rate is cut in September, it is expected that the market will continue to fluctuate and bottom out in July and August. There may be a small rise before the ETF is passed.
After the interest rate cut policy is implemented, the market may experience a fake fall, that is, a short-term decline, and then start a new round of large-scale market in October.
Furthermore, if the ETF is passed in July, August or September, and the interest rate is cut in November, the market may also rise slightly before the ETF is passed, and there may be a short-term correction after the passage. After that, the market may enter a period of volatility. During September and October, affected by the expectation of interest rate cuts and ETF fund inflows, there may be a round of staged small market.
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