Shock! The Fed may cut interest rates sharply! Interest rates will drop by 300 points!

At the delicate moment when Fed Chairman Powell is weighing the interest rate cut policy, market investors have placed bets, and a bold prediction has surfaced - the Fed may cut interest rates by up to 300 basis points in the next nine months, which is far beyond the general expectations of the market and the Fed. Data from the options market revealed that if the Fed adjusts the key interest rate to 2.25% by the first quarter of 2025, investors will win a big victory, which indicates that there is at least 300 basis points of room for interest rate cuts.

Although most analysts believe that this prediction is too radical and its possibility is comparable to the Chinese men's football team winning the World Cup, looking back at the Fed's past interest rate policy adjustments, it is not difficult to find that although the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut is small, it is not impossible. The market generally expects a 75 basis point interest rate cut in the next nine months, but if such a sharp interest rate cut really occurs, I am afraid that the US economy will face the severe challenge of a deep recession.

Although predicting a 300 basis point rate cut in the next nine months seems too radical, we should not completely ignore this possibility. Chairman Powell may have missed the best time to cut interest rates, just as he missed the opportunity to raise interest rates two years ago. By the time a rate cut is really needed, it may be too late to make up for it. In the future, whether the Fed will act quickly in the short term to respond to the risk of a recession remains the focus of market attention. #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 $BTC