Why do I feel that a bull market is coming when the market is falling?

Every time the market falls, I always can't help but imagine that this may be the last trough, followed by a magnificent rise. But this intuition is actually more of a psychological effect, similar to the fact that people outside the besieged city always envy the life inside the city and ignore the hardships.

However, the real market trend cannot be predicted by feeling alone. If the bull market is really coming, why is the market transaction volume so sluggish? The stock market is most afraid of unfounded speculation. What we need is real and reliable data.

In the past, we often said that A-shares are policy-driven, but now the impact of policies has gradually weakened. The real driving force of the market lies in the mood and economic conditions of the whole people. Buying stocks is actually a kind of consumption, which reflects people's confidence in the future and their pursuit of quality of life.

When people's consumption concept returns to the level before the epidemic, when the flow of people in the city's shopping malls, the number of tourists during holidays, and the sales of large-value goods all show a trend of recovery, then we can truly say that the bull market is not far away.

Therefore, instead of blindly fantasizing about the bull market, it is better to pay more attention to the consumption data around you and observe the real dynamics of the market. Only in this way can we grasp the pulse of the market more accurately and find real investment opportunities.

I need fans, you need references. It is better to pay attention than to guess

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