Yesterday, the large-scale asset movement of Mentougou wallets caused BTC to fall back. This should be considered a small black swan. In fact, in the long run, BTC is still in a continuous upward trend. For Mentougou, the most suitable time for compensation is always later, and there is no legal order to force it to repay in the near future. It is unlikely that Mentougou will continue to smash the market and compensate in the near future. But on the contrary, if Mentougou opens a short order in advance, the mobile wallet can make a profit on the short order (although I have no evidence). The actual impact of Mentougou's communication and smashing the market may not be as great as the impact of the event on market sentiment. But in the final analysis, it is not a big black swan.

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