The foundation of the big bull market:
External environmental factors:
The Fed’s interest rate hike has just ended, and the United States has started a new round of money printing, and crypto assets have become one of the important reservoirs.
Internal factors of the industry:
The 2022-2023 bear market will be fully cleaned up, risks will be cleared, and obstacles will be eliminated.
The Ethereum Q ecosystem is thriving, ETH has a deflationary mechanism, and the fundamentals are positive.
In a bear market, the market makers use various negative factors to smash the market and collect chips. Institutions follow suit and enter the market, and the main force's layout is completed.
Bull Market Process:
The sign of the official start of the bull market: In April 2024, BTC will be halved, and the four-year cycle is the strongest consensus in the crypto market. The main force attracts traffic from outside the circle through various narratives and wealth effects, and a large number of users and funds enter the market, thereby driving the market up. It is highly likely that Bitcoin and Ethereum will suck blood and pull up, and then the copycat will make up for the rise. During this period, there may be a large-scale callback to wash the market. The public chain ecology is prosperous and developing, various high-quality applications are implemented, and the number of crypto users continues to increase. The industry has ushered in an unprecedented explosive growth.
Key Narrative:
Web3: The sector with the most potential in the next bull market and also a key area for attracting external funds.
L2: With the prosperous development of the Ethereum ecosystem, L2 will be one of the most watched sectors in the new bull market, and it has great room for appreciation in the long run.
Metaverse: The last bull market was just a concept hype, and the new bull market will have more practical applications.
DeFi: Subverting the traditional financial industry is an important part of the decentralized revolution and still has a lot of room for development.
GameFi: The last bull market brought a wave of heat to the circle. Although the results were not ideal, it was also a pioneering attempt.
NFT: NFT has great potential in the future and will not be limited to the hype of small pictures.
Others: A1, social networking, Ethereum ecology, decentralization concept, etc.
As the market progresses, you can pay attention to the investment directions of leading investment institutions such as Binance and A16Z.
Bull market peak signal:
The main force released a lot of positive news, the media outside the circle rushed to report it, celebrities from all walks of life were collectively bullish, new retail investors entered the market to chase high prices, and the main force took the opportunity to sell a large amount of goods and cash in.
The increase is too high, the bubble is too big, new funds can hardly maintain the bubble, and the volume is insufficient, so it will naturally fall.
The United States has stopped or slowed down its monetary easing measures and launched a new round of interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction plans.
This round of bull market will end in 2025:
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