The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 90.7%. Just before this interest rate meeting, the United States first released a CPI data that was lower than expected, and the market enthusiasm was directly ignited. The three major US stock markets all opened higher, US bond yields fell, the US dollar index weakened, and global currencies collectively appreciated. Everything is good. However, as the Fed completely unveiled the veil, the hot market was instantly poured with cold water. What did the Fed do? There are three sets of quarterly interest rate decisions-announcement of interest rates, dot plots and press conferences. First of all, before the Fed announced its decision, the market predicted that the Fed would keep interest rates unchanged with a probability of 90.7%, so this time the Fed kept high interest rates unchanged, which was in line with market expectations.

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