According to Odaily, Dan McArdle, co-founder of Messari, shared his predictions on X about the impact of artificial intelligence over the next 20 years. McArdle anticipates significant advancements in productivity and innovation due to AI, potentially aiding intelligent individuals in developing new physical theories. However, he believes that most aspects of human life will remain unchanged, with people continuing to work, form families, socialize, and maintain a balance between work and leisure.
McArdle expressed skepticism about the development of strong artificial superintelligence (ASI) within the next two decades, suggesting that the fundamental aspects of human society will not undergo drastic changes. He compared the anticipated transformation to the shift from a world without the internet to one where smartphones are widely used.
Addressing younger generations, McArdle noted that the current AI hype cycle might be the first major one they experience. He advised that while AI will have a substantial impact, the changes will take longer than expected. He also dismissed the views of AI skeptics, asserting that they are consistently incorrect.
Ryan Watkins, co-founder of Syncracy Capital, inquired about the duration of this AI cycle. McArdle responded that he is uncertain but likened the current situation to the internet era around 1997-98, suggesting a similar trajectory in terms of technological evolution.