Which sectors will benefit before and after the Bitcoin production cut?
There are still 13 days before the Bitcoin production cut.
There is a production cut every four years, and there must be a bull market before and after the production cut. This has almost become a law.
Before and after the production cut, I am conservative about the overall market, but I have more confidence in BRC20. This article will talk about this point of view, of course, it is completely personal opinion.
The reduction of Bitcoin production has the greatest impact on miners, but over the years, the output has become less and less, the cost has become higher and higher, and the price of the currency has also risen, so even if less is mined, miners can still survive.
Miners' income mainly depends on: mining and transaction fees.
There are 21 million Bitcoins in total, and nearly 19.67 million have been mined so far, with more than 1 million left.
With less and less output, if miners rely solely on mining, even if the price of the currency rises, it will not be enough to support the survival of so many mining farms around the world.
Mining income will eventually become history, so how can mining farms survive?
It can only be compensated by packaging transaction fees.
Therefore, Bitcoin needs to be transferred, traded, and increase the activity on the chain. We cannot let everyone wait for the increase in Bitcoin, otherwise the income of the mining farm will decrease. If the mining farm's income decreases, a large number of mining farms will go bankrupt, forming a vicious cycle. This is also the reason why there are mining farms that cannot survive every bear market.
Therefore, the activity on the Bitcoin chain will drive the price of Bitcoin to a certain extent, and also cause congestion on the chain and a surge in miner fees. Retail investors don't like this congestion, but miners like it.
When the inscription was hyped last year, the on-chain miner fee soared dozens of times, from 20sats to 600sats, which brought a lot of income to miners and indirectly promoted the rise of Bitcoin at the end of last year.
Many people call it "Inscription Bull".
So if there are still people who tell you that inscription is air, BRC is air, and there will be no bull market in the future for BRC, you can let him die, because he may not even understand the logic of BRC.
However, it should be clear that inscription and BRC are not exactly the same. When I talk about inscription, most of the time I am talking about BRC20 protocol, not other protocols.
To sum up, Bitcoin cannot do without miners. Miners need BRC20 inscriptions, and they also need other Bitcoin chain ecosystems, the second layer.
In short, it is a relationship of mutual benefit.
Speaking of Bitcoin production cuts, historical experience shows that the market conditions at that time and in that month would not be too good. Although we cannot stick to the old ways, at least we need to have an idea in mind and think of a plan to deal with it in advance.
However, before and after the Bitcoin production cuts, it is very likely that there will be a small bull market for BRC20 under it, because sooner or later everyone will react. Bitcoin production cuts are not good for the big cake at the time, but they may be good for the ecosystem.
Therefore, Wang Ge also predicted in his previous article that there may be a climax of inscriptions in April and May. A RGB has been released in the past few days, which has brought about an effect, and there may be more in the future.
Jiaoliuqun+Wei: 2758624303 I have also started to play some inscriptions recently.
Regarding the choice of inscriptions, I personally hold Audi. In addition, I have previously bought some inscriptions such as TURT, MUBI, RATS, and ROUP, which have all started to rebound recently.
But apart from these mainstream inscriptions, in fact, new inscriptions will have lower risks and higher returns. Except for the leading ones, old inscriptions will have locked-in shares, so the expectations will be slightly smaller.
In addition, it is impossible to predict whether the inscriptions will pull back in the short term (before the reduction in production). If so, it is an opportunity.
Finally, everyone can pay attention to a new project called OX, which still has some potential. How to choose and when to enter is up to you.
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