Summary in one sentence: Today's market showed a shock recovery trend. Among the 33 key currencies screened by AI, 28 have short-term rebound potential (focusing on policy-related currencies and ecological recovery targets), and 5 need to be vigilant about technical breakouts and capital outflow risks. The current maximum profit has been realized +37.91%. Market sentiment is dominated by policy games and on-chain capital flows. It is recommended to dynamically adjust positions based on technical signals.
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I. Overall market trend analysis
Macro and policy dynamics
Trump policy expectations: Although the Trump administration's "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" plan is mainly based on asset confiscation, the market still has expectations for subsequent policy tools (such as negotiations to acquire a stake in Binance.US), which will promote a short-term rebound in concept coins such as #TRUMP.
Regulatory game: SEC postpones SOL spot ETF approval, Solana ecosystem is under short-term pressure, but XRP ETF application advancement may inject liquidity into cross-chain tracks (such as
#TLOS ).
Geopolitics and inflation: The US CPI annual rate of 2.8% in February briefly boosted risk appetite, but Trump's tariff policy continued to suppress market sentiment. Bitcoin is currently fluctuating around $84,800, and attention should be paid to the breakthrough of the key resistance level of $85,500.
Funds and on-chain data
Institutional trends: USDT on-chain activity hit a 6-month high, retail investors' willingness to buy the bottom increased, supporting the repair of oversold currencies (such as #SUNDOG, #PORK); BASE chain and Solana have significant net inflows, which is good for ecological targets such as
#MNDE (Solana DeFi protocol).
Leverage risk: The leverage ratio of Bitcoin contracts is still high (125 times), and it is necessary to be vigilant about the chain reaction caused by liquidation. It is recommended to avoid highly volatile currencies such as #BANANA.
II. Analysis of the logic of recommended buying currencies
1. Policy and event-driven
#TRUMP : The progress of the negotiation of the Trump family's stake in Binance.US may catalyze short-term speculation, breaking through the $0.35 resistance on the technical side, and the target is $0.45.
**#BTC**: Bitcoin breaks through the 50-day moving average, and the MACD golden cross begins to appear. If it stands firmly at the $84,800 support, it may start the right market.
2. Ecological recovery and technological innovation
#MNDE: Solana ecological DeFi protocol, benefiting from the recovery of on-chain TVL, technically forming a double bottom structure, and the target market value sprints to the Top100.
**#GRAIL**: Modular blockchain protocol, integrated with Celestia DA layer test network, reduced development costs to promote ecological expansion, short-term target $1.2.
3. Oversold rebound and liquidity repair type
**
#SUNDOG **: AI+Metaverse concept, the project party destroyed 5% of the circulation, the proportion of large transfers on the chain increased sharply, and the rebound target was 0.0000045 US dollars.
**#PORK**: Meme coin sector funds rotated, short covering after the funding rate turned negative, and the 4-hour level stood on the EMA30 moving average, with a target increase of 15%-20%.
III. Recommended to sell currency risk reminder
Technical break type
**#AVA**: Affected by the SEC's postponement of ETF approval, the daily line fell below the key support of US$0.85, and the active addresses on the chain fell by 40% in a few weeks, with a target of US$0.72.
**#KAS**: The internal volume of the PoW track intensified, the migration of computing power led to an increase in selling pressure, and the technical side formed a downward channel, with a target callback to US$0.12. Fund outflow type
**#REZ**: NFT track continues to be sluggish, project tokens are unlocked (8 million tokens released this week), net fund outflow accounts for more than 60%, it is recommended to stop loss and exit.
**#AUCTION**: Decentralized auction protocol TVL fell 35% month-on-month, technical RSI overbought and then dead cross, target callback to $2.8.
IV. Operation strategy and risk control suggestions
Position allocation
The total position is controlled at 50%-60%, policy-related targets (#TRUMP, #BTC) account for no more than 25%, and ecological recovery track (#MNDE, #GRAIL) accounts for 30%.
Set 8%-10% stop loss for oversold currencies (#SUNDOG, #PORK) to avoid liquidity risks.
Key nodes
Bitcoin breaks through $85,500: Chase up (cross-chain protocol) and #LOGX (derivatives protocol) on the right, with a target increase of 10%-15%.
SOL spot ETF progress: If CBOE promotes XRP ETF, add positions in #TLOSAW (Solana ecosystem Meme coin).
V. Today's monitoring indicators and events
Bitcoin key position: support level of $83,500, resistance level of $85,500-86,500, and a breakthrough will open upside space.
On-chain data: Monitor the changes in the address of
#TRUMP whales, be alert to selling pressure after the positive cashing out; pay attention to the changes in the net inflow of #BTC exchanges.
Policy risks: Trump's tariff policy may cause fluctuations in US stocks, indirectly impacting high-leverage targets in the crypto market.
Risk warning: The risk of liquidation of high-leverage contracts and policy uncertainty amplify volatility. It is recommended to focus on spot and avoid low-liquidity small currencies.