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FORMULA FOR SUCCESSFUL TRADING: ANALYSIS, CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, DISCIPLINE
🎯 Success in trading is not about guessing the trend right, but about the harmonious coordination of three factors: market analysis, capital management, and personal discipline. These are the three pillars that help you survive and develop sustainably in a volatile market.
💡 Market analysis: The market is a battle between buyers and sellers. Understanding this balance through technical analysis and psychology will help you identify trends and make accurate decisions. Success is not just about recognizing opportunities, but also about being able to read the market clearly and based on evidence.
💡 Market analysis: The market is a battle between buyers and sellers. Understanding this balance through technical analysis and psychology will help you identify trends and make accurate decisions. Success is not just about recognizing opportunities, but also about being able to read the market clearly and based on evidence.
Admin_group Market Maker_10 year Bitcoin:
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119 - The Era of Interactive 3D: Technology Shaping Everyday Life
Interactive 3D technology is stepping out of the gaming field, becoming an essential part of training, design, and automation. Current advancements are built on the foundation of the gaming industry, where graphics, engines, and simulations have set the stage for today's practical applications.
Each decade is associated with a technological focus: from text in the 1990s, images in the 2000s, video in the 2010s, and now interactive 3D in the 2020s. The gaming industry has been and continues to be a 'laboratory of innovation,' applying breakthroughs in graphics and simulation to fields beyond entertainment.
Each decade is associated with a technological focus: from text in the 1990s, images in the 2000s, video in the 2010s, and now interactive 3D in the 2020s. The gaming industry has been and continues to be a 'laboratory of innovation,' applying breakthroughs in graphics and simulation to fields beyond entertainment.
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118 - Bitcoin: A New Journey After the $100,000 Milestone
As Bitcoin surpasses the $100,000 mark, this is not only a financial achievement but also raises questions about its true standing in the global financial system. This price level is a powerful psychological symbol, marking a new advancement supported by technologies like BitVM and Layer 2, opening up unprecedented potentials.
The value of $100,000 is not just a number but also a testament to Bitcoin's resilience and long-term potential. From a speculative asset, Bitcoin is transforming into the core foundation of digital finance. As the CEO of Xapo noted, this is not only the result of a price rally but also reflects a rapidly changing market sentiment.
The value of $100,000 is not just a number but also a testament to Bitcoin's resilience and long-term potential. From a speculative asset, Bitcoin is transforming into the core foundation of digital finance. As the CEO of Xapo noted, this is not only the result of a price rally but also reflects a rapidly changing market sentiment.
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ADAPTABILITY 2
🎯 "The species that survives is not the strongest or the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change." – Charles Darwin emphasizes that adaptability is the key factor for survival and growth in a constantly changing world.
💡 In Greek mythology, the Hydra creature symbolizes the ability to regenerate and adapt. Each time one head is cut off, two more grow back. This illustrates that the best individuals or systems not only survive chaos but also thrive from it. Instead of being defeated by change, they prepare and adapt to benefit from transformation. In life, change is the only certainty, and those who can adapt best will be the successful ones.
🔑 Core message: Embracing change and being ready to face challenges is the way to triumph in a volatile world. Like the Hydra, instead of being defeated by chaos, cultivate your adaptability and grow from change. The ability to adapt not only helps you survive but also succeed against the greatest challenges.
—
🌪️ Chaos surrounds,
🌱 Adaptation is vital,
🏆 Winning through acceptance.
—
#0xdungbui
🎯 "The species that survives is not the strongest or the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change." – Charles Darwin emphasizes that adaptability is the key factor for survival and growth in a constantly changing world.
💡 In Greek mythology, the Hydra creature symbolizes the ability to regenerate and adapt. Each time one head is cut off, two more grow back. This illustrates that the best individuals or systems not only survive chaos but also thrive from it. Instead of being defeated by change, they prepare and adapt to benefit from transformation. In life, change is the only certainty, and those who can adapt best will be the successful ones.
🔑 Core message: Embracing change and being ready to face challenges is the way to triumph in a volatile world. Like the Hydra, instead of being defeated by chaos, cultivate your adaptability and grow from change. The ability to adapt not only helps you survive but also succeed against the greatest challenges.
—
🌪️ Chaos surrounds,
🌱 Adaptation is vital,
🏆 Winning through acceptance.
—
#0xdungbui
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117 - LOOKING BACK AT 2024: THE YEAR OF VOLATILITY AND BREAKTHROUGHS
Another year comes to a close, and the cryptocurrency world has just gone through a tumultuous yet exciting journey. 2024 is not only a year of impressive numbers but also a year that marks moments we will always remember.
PART 1: THE BIGGEST STORIES
1️⃣ 2024: The year of cryptocurrency ETFs
This year, cryptocurrency ETFs not only attracted attention but also officially brought crypto into the mainstream of traditional finance:
PART 1: THE BIGGEST STORIES
1️⃣ 2024: The year of cryptocurrency ETFs
This year, cryptocurrency ETFs not only attracted attention but also officially brought crypto into the mainstream of traditional finance:
Hoang Tuan:
hình như bài của bác chỉ có mình em đọc. Hà ha ha. bác ở chỗ nào thế? Hanoi k?
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CLUM PRINCIPLE: THE SAFER YOU ARE, THE MORE DANGEROUS IT BECOMES
🎯 The CLUM principle highlights an interesting paradox: The longer you stay in your comfort zone, the more you risk facing greater dangers in the long run – that is stagnation and losing your potential for growth. Conversely, when you have the courage to step out of familiar limits and face risks in a controlled manner, you will uncover hidden abilities and achieve remarkable growth. Absolute safety is essentially an illusion, for not changing means you are gradually falling behind in a constantly evolving world.
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Adapting to the Market – Don’t Let Emotions Take Control
🎯 Investing psychology often pushes us into a defensive position, making it easy to cling to optimism when the market is up or to hesitate in pessimism when the market is down. When we are optimistic, we often look for reasons to continue believing in positive expectations, even when selling might be a better option. Conversely, when we are pessimistic, we hesitate to wait for the “perfect bottom” to buy, only to miss out on real opportunities.
💡 The market is a machine that is constantly running on new information. The reasons that drove previous decisions may no longer be valid when prices have fully reflected that information. Therefore, constantly reassessing the data and keeping a flexible perspective are important factors to ensure that your investment strategy is in line with reality. Blindly sticking to outdated assumptions or emotions will only keep you stuck in bad decisions, hindering your path to success.
🔑 Key message: Don't let your emotions lock you into your current position. Always be objective and be willing to ask: "Are the original reasons still valid? What has changed with new information?" It is flexibility and the ability to adapt to real data that will help you make informed decisions and achieve sustainable success in your investment journey.
—
📈 Optimism to sell,
📉 Pessimism to buy at the bottom,
🔄 Price changes, reasons change.
—
#0xdungbui
🎯 Investing psychology often pushes us into a defensive position, making it easy to cling to optimism when the market is up or to hesitate in pessimism when the market is down. When we are optimistic, we often look for reasons to continue believing in positive expectations, even when selling might be a better option. Conversely, when we are pessimistic, we hesitate to wait for the “perfect bottom” to buy, only to miss out on real opportunities.
💡 The market is a machine that is constantly running on new information. The reasons that drove previous decisions may no longer be valid when prices have fully reflected that information. Therefore, constantly reassessing the data and keeping a flexible perspective are important factors to ensure that your investment strategy is in line with reality. Blindly sticking to outdated assumptions or emotions will only keep you stuck in bad decisions, hindering your path to success.
🔑 Key message: Don't let your emotions lock you into your current position. Always be objective and be willing to ask: "Are the original reasons still valid? What has changed with new information?" It is flexibility and the ability to adapt to real data that will help you make informed decisions and achieve sustainable success in your investment journey.
—
📈 Optimism to sell,
📉 Pessimism to buy at the bottom,
🔄 Price changes, reasons change.
—
#0xdungbui
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116 - From Attention to Utility: The Essential Path of Crypto
The cryptocurrency market has gone through a decade of development based on hype. Captivating stories and speculative excitement drive growth. But what happens when the hype is gone? This industry must shift from attention economics to something greater – something truly useful in everyday life.
Crypto currently faces a major challenge: it is too complex. Discussions often revolve around technical concepts like blockchain, consensus, or scalability. But most people don't care. They just want the technology to work smoothly, securely, and without hassle. The success of crypto will be like Wi-Fi or GPS – important but almost invisible. You don't need to understand how they work to see that they are essential.
Crypto currently faces a major challenge: it is too complex. Discussions often revolve around technical concepts like blockchain, consensus, or scalability. But most people don't care. They just want the technology to work smoothly, securely, and without hassle. The success of crypto will be like Wi-Fi or GPS – important but almost invisible. You don't need to understand how they work to see that they are essential.
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115 - Almost Everyone Will End the Bull Market With $0
When the market is bullish, money seems easy to make. But most people end the cycle with nothing. A bull market is not just an opportunity – it’s also a psychological test. This makes many not realize that wealth is only temporary if not managed properly.
Prices double in a few weeks. You wait for a correction, but it doesn't come. Prices continue to rise tenfold. A bull market operates on its own rules: price is a story. This story doesn't need perfect logic. If you wait for the ideal entry point, you might miss the opportunity. But even when you join, you need to understand that profits don't really belong to you if you don't take them at the right time.
Prices double in a few weeks. You wait for a correction, but it doesn't come. Prices continue to rise tenfold. A bull market operates on its own rules: price is a story. This story doesn't need perfect logic. If you wait for the ideal entry point, you might miss the opportunity. But even when you join, you need to understand that profits don't really belong to you if you don't take them at the right time.
Diệu Mẫn:
Bài viết rất hay, cảm ơn bạn. Tâm đắc câu "Chốt lời dần khi đã có lợi nhuận"
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#114 The Volatility of Bitcoin Price - Yesterday
Last night, the market received hot news from the Federal Reserve: the federal funds rate continues to be cut by 0.25%, bringing the target range down to 4.25% - 4.5%. This is the third consecutive cut this year.
September: Cut by 0.50%
November: Cut by 0.25%
December: Further cut by 0.25%
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, in a press conference, acknowledged that inflation is still high but close to their 2% target. He emphasized that:
September: Cut by 0.50%
November: Cut by 0.25%
December: Further cut by 0.25%
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, in a press conference, acknowledged that inflation is still high but close to their 2% target. He emphasized that:
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TRANSACTIONS AND EGO
🎯 "Trading is a business decision, predicting is an ego game." This statement emphasizes the difference between making decisions based on objective analysis and predicting the market based on emotions or ego.
💡 Trading should be viewed as a business decision, with careful calculations of risk and reward. It requires discipline, capital management, and evidence-based analysis. In contrast, predicting the market based on emotions often leads to mistakes and loss of control. Successful trading does not come from correctly guessing every fluctuation, but from focusing on data-driven decisions and maintaining a sustainable advantage.
🔑 Core message: Successful trading is the result of sober and well-founded business decisions, not from the ego game of guessing correctly. Do not let arrogance or the desire to prove yourself right dictate your actions. Instead, rely on discipline, objective analysis, and risk management to achieve long-term success in the market.
—
📊 Sober trading,
🎯 Predicting feeds the ego,
⚖️ Stable business.
—
#0xdungbui
🎯 "Trading is a business decision, predicting is an ego game." This statement emphasizes the difference between making decisions based on objective analysis and predicting the market based on emotions or ego.
💡 Trading should be viewed as a business decision, with careful calculations of risk and reward. It requires discipline, capital management, and evidence-based analysis. In contrast, predicting the market based on emotions often leads to mistakes and loss of control. Successful trading does not come from correctly guessing every fluctuation, but from focusing on data-driven decisions and maintaining a sustainable advantage.
🔑 Core message: Successful trading is the result of sober and well-founded business decisions, not from the ego game of guessing correctly. Do not let arrogance or the desire to prove yourself right dictate your actions. Instead, rely on discipline, objective analysis, and risk management to achieve long-term success in the market.
—
📊 Sober trading,
🎯 Predicting feeds the ego,
⚖️ Stable business.
—
#0xdungbui
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THE MOST COMMON MISTAKE IN INVESTING
🎯 Harry Markowitz, the Nobel Prize-winning economist, pointed out a classic mistake made by many retail investors: buying when the market is rising because they think it will continue to rise, and selling when the market is falling because they fear it will keep dropping. This cycle has caused many to miss long-term growth opportunities and continuously face unnecessary losses.
💡 The root of this mistake lies in herd mentality and emotional influences. When the market rises, greed compels you to jump into the "game" to avoid missing out, and when the market falls, fear drives you to hastily withdraw to preserve capital. However, financial markets always operate in cycles – rising and then falling, and vice versa. Smart investors do not get swept up in temporary fluctuations but focus on long-term strategies and analyze real data. Calmness, discipline, and the ability to look beyond short-term fluctuations are what help you overcome all challenges.
🔑 Core message: Emotions are the greatest enemy of investing. Do not let greed and fear dictate your decisions. Maintain discipline, focus on long-term goals, and allocate assets wisely. Sustainable success in investing comes from patience and self-control, not from trend-following or temporary emotional decisions.
—
📉 Buy when prices rise,
📈 Sell when the market falls,
⚖️ Common mistakes.
—
#0xdungbui
🎯 Harry Markowitz, the Nobel Prize-winning economist, pointed out a classic mistake made by many retail investors: buying when the market is rising because they think it will continue to rise, and selling when the market is falling because they fear it will keep dropping. This cycle has caused many to miss long-term growth opportunities and continuously face unnecessary losses.
💡 The root of this mistake lies in herd mentality and emotional influences. When the market rises, greed compels you to jump into the "game" to avoid missing out, and when the market falls, fear drives you to hastily withdraw to preserve capital. However, financial markets always operate in cycles – rising and then falling, and vice versa. Smart investors do not get swept up in temporary fluctuations but focus on long-term strategies and analyze real data. Calmness, discipline, and the ability to look beyond short-term fluctuations are what help you overcome all challenges.
🔑 Core message: Emotions are the greatest enemy of investing. Do not let greed and fear dictate your decisions. Maintain discipline, focus on long-term goals, and allocate assets wisely. Sustainable success in investing comes from patience and self-control, not from trend-following or temporary emotional decisions.
—
📉 Buy when prices rise,
📈 Sell when the market falls,
⚖️ Common mistakes.
—
#0xdungbui
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[#113] The Competition Between Blockchains: The Future Belongs to Assets, Not Technology
Imagine you are living in the 1990s. Nasdaq and NYSE were not just places to trade stocks. They were symbols of American finance. But now, few care where their stocks are listed. What matters more is what assets you own.
In the world of crypto, the same is happening.
Blockchain: From Technology to Assets
Initially, layer one (L1) blockchains competed on technology. Solana stands out with low fees and fast speeds. Ethereum leads in decentralization and security. But now, technology has become the standard. Users choose blockchains not for technology, but for the assets they can trade on them.
In the world of crypto, the same is happening.
Blockchain: From Technology to Assets
Initially, layer one (L1) blockchains competed on technology. Solana stands out with low fees and fast speeds. Ethereum leads in decentralization and security. But now, technology has become the standard. Users choose blockchains not for technology, but for the assets they can trade on them.
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WARREN BUFFETT'S INVESTMENT FORMULA
🎯 Warren Buffett's investment method is based on a simple yet profound formula: Consider potential profits and risks by using probabilities. Instead of relying solely on intuition or market trends, Buffett calculates based on the probabilities of gains and losses, combined with potential profits and levels of risk.
💡 Buffett's successful investment formula can be expressed as follows:
Investment Success = (Probability of Gain x Potential Gain Amount) - (Probability of Loss x Potential Loss Amount)
If the result is a positive number, it means that this investment decision has a sustainable profit expectation. Although it is not a perfect method, this approach helps investors systematically assess profits and risks, ensuring that they only invest in opportunities with positive expectations – that is, opportunities that are likely to yield higher returns than risks.
🔑 Core message: To achieve sustainable success in investing, carefully consider the probabilities of profits and risks. Focusing on opportunities with positive expectations helps you make informed investment decisions and minimize risks. Buffett's method shows that patience and discipline in evaluating probabilities and expectations can lead to long-term positive outcomes in investing.
—
📊 Calculated probabilities,
💰 Profits minus risks,
🔢 Positive, success comes.
—
#0xdungbui
🎯 Warren Buffett's investment method is based on a simple yet profound formula: Consider potential profits and risks by using probabilities. Instead of relying solely on intuition or market trends, Buffett calculates based on the probabilities of gains and losses, combined with potential profits and levels of risk.
💡 Buffett's successful investment formula can be expressed as follows:
Investment Success = (Probability of Gain x Potential Gain Amount) - (Probability of Loss x Potential Loss Amount)
If the result is a positive number, it means that this investment decision has a sustainable profit expectation. Although it is not a perfect method, this approach helps investors systematically assess profits and risks, ensuring that they only invest in opportunities with positive expectations – that is, opportunities that are likely to yield higher returns than risks.
🔑 Core message: To achieve sustainable success in investing, carefully consider the probabilities of profits and risks. Focusing on opportunities with positive expectations helps you make informed investment decisions and minimize risks. Buffett's method shows that patience and discipline in evaluating probabilities and expectations can lead to long-term positive outcomes in investing.
—
📊 Calculated probabilities,
💰 Profits minus risks,
🔢 Positive, success comes.
—
#0xdungbui
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[#112] The Observer Effect and the Crypto Market
In quantum physics, the behavior of particles changes when they are observed. The financial market is similar. When we try to understand and exploit its patterns, this very act will cause the market to change.
Crypto is the clearest evidence of this phenomenon.
The "Beta" Cycles
Previously, the crypto market operated under a simple model: prices rose uniformly. You didn't have to care too much about which tokens you held, as long as you held them. But when a model becomes too clear, it will no longer be sustainable.
Crypto is the clearest evidence of this phenomenon.
The "Beta" Cycles
Previously, the crypto market operated under a simple model: prices rose uniformly. You didn't have to care too much about which tokens you held, as long as you held them. But when a model becomes too clear, it will no longer be sustainable.
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NOTHING NEW IN THE MARKET – HISTORY ALWAYS REPEATS
🎯 Jesse Livermore, one of the greatest speculators in history, spent many years realizing a simple yet profound truth: "Nothing is new in the stock market." Everything you see today – from prices, fluctuations to market sentiment – has happened before. The market, in essence, is just a loop of old cycles.
💡 What causes the market to repeat? Livermore realized that human behavior and emotions – greed, fear, and excitement – are the main reasons that create these cycles. People do not change, and therefore, the market does not either. That is why, instead of trying to find novelty or predict the "difference" of the current market, smart investors should study history. The lessons from the past are powerful tools that help you predict trends and make wiser decisions in the present. History does not repeat itself exactly, but it always leaves similar traces.
🔑 Core message: The stock market always follows repeating cycles. Success does not lie in trying to "invent" something new, but in what you learn from history and how you apply it. Understanding the lessons of the past and skillfully applying them to the present will help you create a sustainable competitive advantage – because historical knowledge is always the greatest teacher.
—
🔄 Price repeats the past,
📉 The market is not new,
🕰️ Livermore realized.
—
#0xdungbui
🎯 Jesse Livermore, one of the greatest speculators in history, spent many years realizing a simple yet profound truth: "Nothing is new in the stock market." Everything you see today – from prices, fluctuations to market sentiment – has happened before. The market, in essence, is just a loop of old cycles.
💡 What causes the market to repeat? Livermore realized that human behavior and emotions – greed, fear, and excitement – are the main reasons that create these cycles. People do not change, and therefore, the market does not either. That is why, instead of trying to find novelty or predict the "difference" of the current market, smart investors should study history. The lessons from the past are powerful tools that help you predict trends and make wiser decisions in the present. History does not repeat itself exactly, but it always leaves similar traces.
🔑 Core message: The stock market always follows repeating cycles. Success does not lie in trying to "invent" something new, but in what you learn from history and how you apply it. Understanding the lessons of the past and skillfully applying them to the present will help you create a sustainable competitive advantage – because historical knowledge is always the greatest teacher.
—
🔄 Price repeats the past,
📉 The market is not new,
🕰️ Livermore realized.
—
#0xdungbui
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[#111] Examining Two Important Indicators: HODL Waves and the Number of Wallets Holding Bitcoin
The Bitcoin market continues to provide important signals through two indicators: HODL Waves – a chart showing long-term Bitcoin holding behavior, and the number of wallets holding Bitcoin – a measure to evaluate network growth. Both indicators not only help us better understand investor sentiment but also demonstrate the sustainable expansion of the Bitcoin ecosystem.
1️⃣ HODL Waves: Long-Term Bitcoin Holding Trend
1️⃣ HODL Waves: Long-Term Bitcoin Holding Trend
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[#110] Value Created vs Value Held: A Big Question for Crypto
Stop and think: Are you creating value or just holding it? This is not a small question. It is central to understanding whether cryptocurrency, and broader the economy today, is truly creating something new and good.
A Dialogue Between Wealth Creation and Value Creation
Capitalism is built on a big idea: that creating wealth and creating value can go hand in hand. You solve a societal problem, you get paid fairly. But this idea is not always true in practice. And in the world of crypto, this question becomes particularly urgent: are we actually solving problems, or just looking to "make a profit"?
A Dialogue Between Wealth Creation and Value Creation
Capitalism is built on a big idea: that creating wealth and creating value can go hand in hand. You solve a societal problem, you get paid fairly. But this idea is not always true in practice. And in the world of crypto, this question becomes particularly urgent: are we actually solving problems, or just looking to "make a profit"?
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CONSISTENT
🎯 Want to get rich quick? Luck is the biggest factor. But if you want to build lasting wealth, the most important thing is not unexpected opportunities, but consistency. Consistency and discipline in pursuing your goals will lead to long-term success, not one-time luck.
💡 Build consistent habits and take steps to build wealth over time. Instead of relying on luck, focus on creating systems, strategies, and disciplined decisions to ensure steady, sustainable growth.
🔑 Core message: Sustainable wealth does not come from short-term opportunities or sudden luck. It is the result of consistency, discipline, and the ability to stay on track over time.
—
🍀 Get rich quick thanks to luck,
🔄 Consistency lasts long,
🌱 Persistence makes gold.
—
#Write2Win #0xdungbui
🎯 Want to get rich quick? Luck is the biggest factor. But if you want to build lasting wealth, the most important thing is not unexpected opportunities, but consistency. Consistency and discipline in pursuing your goals will lead to long-term success, not one-time luck.
💡 Build consistent habits and take steps to build wealth over time. Instead of relying on luck, focus on creating systems, strategies, and disciplined decisions to ensure steady, sustainable growth.
🔑 Core message: Sustainable wealth does not come from short-term opportunities or sudden luck. It is the result of consistency, discipline, and the ability to stay on track over time.
—
🍀 Get rich quick thanks to luck,
🔄 Consistency lasts long,
🌱 Persistence makes gold.
—
#Write2Win #0xdungbui
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Is Bitcoin Preparing for a Bigger Price Surge?
Bitcoin is currently attracting strong attention from both "whales" holding hundreds of BTC and an increasingly expanding community of average users. These are two extremely important factors that together create a positive picture for the crypto market. Below are the main signals you need to pay attention to:
1. Whales Are Accumulating Strongly
According to the latest data, the “whales” — investors holding 100 BTC or more (equivalent to about $6.86 million USD) — are buying at an unprecedented rate. Quinten Francois, an expert in the crypto industry, commented:
1. Whales Are Accumulating Strongly
According to the latest data, the “whales” — investors holding 100 BTC or more (equivalent to about $6.86 million USD) — are buying at an unprecedented rate. Quinten Francois, an expert in the crypto industry, commented: