Crypto4light

$STRK Friends, once again, like clockwork, I see the entire community suddenly obsessing over one word – altseason!

1. First of all — yes, long-term targets for many altcoins are still much higher.
Seeing a 100–300% gain from where we were doesn’t mean we’re at the end of “altseason.” In fact, I suggest removing that term from your vocabulary entirely.
Altseason technically just means the top 50 alts are outperforming Bitcoin — but it doesn’t mean the remaining 100,000 coins are doing the same. We have a limited amount of capital and liquidity in this market, and it’s not enough to pump every coin.
If your investment timeline is 1–2 years — stop refreshing your portfolio every time a coin moves +10%. You should only care about the zone where you’re actually planning to take profit. Each asset will have a different level depending on your entry point.

2. Now, take a look at the screenshot example. For STRK and Chillguy, the macro targets are much higher than current prices.
But you have to consider: from the local bottom, just a simple test of the yearly open on STRK would be a +330% gain. But from today’s price, it’s only +160%. And that’s assuming the recent low was truly the bottom.

We could easily go up +330% this summer and then drop to 10 cents again. If someone buys at $0.45, they might be stuck with a -330% drawdown before they break even. That’s why your investment plan should always account for potential drawdowns — both in percentage and time.
A test of the yearly open from the bottom would mean a +765% gain. From the current level? Only +108%. So if you buy now, sure, you might gain 108% — or you might drop 50% in a few days if it retests the monthly open.

Think in terms of entry logic. If your spot entry on Chillguy was $0.16 in January 2025, even if the weekly chart looks bullish and long-term targets look juicy, remember: your entry is someone else’s +765% — and many of them will be taking profit at those levels

BTC will close May 💰 $BTC

$BTC Also today plan. If they'll decide to start cut rates mostly we will see spike to 98500-99500 and down
If they decide leave current rate can be same price movement. UTC time

$STRK  Starknet (better name could be a Darknet)
Or with sweep 0.10 listing price and on W with btc d under 55% to break the stucture) or from current prices to Yearly open and break of structure.

Also liquidations heatmap Weekly levels. $BTC
#BTC

$BTC On Bitcoin — both locally and globally:

💰As always, after a prolonged inflow of funds into BTC ETFs, we saw the first major outflow yesterday. I’m still expecting the CME gap to be filled — either after a move to 99 or from the current levels around 92–91, as I mentioned in my latest video.

💰I’m not a fan of fractals or patterns, but if we look at the last 3 corrections since 2021, Bitcoin took around 210–238 days to form a new ATH. So, roughly speaking, that could mean August or September 2025. My target remains at $139–145K for Bitcoin (if we go higher — no problem).
But honestly, I think very few people are focused on Bitcoin itself at these levels. The real attention is on altcoins — trying to break even on some positions, realizing that some coins may never return to breakeven, and taking profits on others. It's also a moment to rethink your investment portfolio and overall strategy in the crypto sector.🙃
#BTC

$BTC My idea for the peak of Bitcoin dominance was around 62%, but that turned out to be incorrect — Bitcoin dominance has now reached 65%.
The original logic was based on seasonality, liquidity flow, and key levels on the weekly chart.

Given the current trend, a move toward 71% dominance and a first test of the take-profit line on the monthly chart no longer looks unrealistic.
The zone for taking profits on altcoins remains the same. Since the lines are dynamic, the Bitcoin buy zone (i.e., altcoin sell zone) currently sits at 36% dominance. In six months to a year, that threshold will likely be higher — so consider setting an alert at that level on the monthly chart.

The good news? On the monthly timeframe, we’re now seeing two consecutive months of capital outflows and a market sentiment of total euphoria on BTC dominance.

I think the past three years have made it crystal clear: fundamentals, whitepapers, roadmaps, partnerships, updates — all of that is basically irrelevant. Examples is $STRK $AEVO or like $ZK
But I’ve identified a few key things that actually matter and are worth paying attention to:

🖤Fundraising rounds: at what prices did funds get in, and when?
🖤Token unlocks — who’s receiving them and in what volumes? (Keep in mind: unlocking doesn’t mean tokens will instantly flood the market.)
🖤Was there an airdrop system in place, or did the project launch with just institutional backing?
🖤Compare the current circulating supply, FDV, and market cap (which is mostly a made-up figure that doesn’t reflect the real amount of money on the table — it’s just a formula).
🖤What sector is the token in? Is there a narrative or hype cycle tied to it — #RWA , NFTs, GameFi, etc.?
🖤On-chain analytics.

Since I’m now spending less time on testnets (explained why in an earlier post), I want to dive deeper into on-chain wallet analysis — tracking flows, distribution, fund movements, alerts on market makers and big players.

I do understand that on-chain tracking stops the moment funds are moved to a CEX — that’s where the trace ends.
So blind trust in transactions and volume metrics is not the way to go either.

Over time, I’ve come to realize the importance of keeping a minimal but high-quality set of tools and asset analysis methods.

$SOL In April , more than 1.2 million new tokens (mostly memecoins, of course) were launched on the Solana blockchain.
And people try do some RESEARCH in this casino?!
cmon

$ENA Partnership with HYPE and $TON ! Here is how "fundamental" and media brainwash traders. So we have a -24% down price movement on this so BULLISH news.  Nice one right?

$ZRO Simple. Almost after the year after my first video we perfectly tested last zone (first level of last zone) to buy. #zro
but gamblers still always scream this model is random

$LTC SEC Set to Rule on Canary Capital's Litecoin ETF Application Today

Rumors are actively spreading online that Nvidia is allegedly going to buy $BTC

This is simply unique for several reasons

1. People live and feed on rumors, intrigues, they make decisions impulsively, they like such headlines! But no one thinks about why such headlines appear at the 95 thousand mark for bitcoin and not at the 20 thousand mark

2. Who said that people from. NVDA have not bought bitcoin for a long time and are now paying for media with such news to drive the crowd higher, because someone has to buy during distribution

3. Do people really make decisions on investing in different assets based on rumors, news, gossip, hypotheses? It's 2025, and the situation has not changed for the last 13 years on the crypto market! It doesn't matter if it's bitcoin or some meme token
#NVDA #BTC