When the intrinsic value of an industry falls short of the capital it has absorbed, society tends to view this as a "sin." In such cases, the ones labeled as sinners are those who built and participated in the industry. Society singles out the most influential figure as the guilty party, holding them responsible for the industry's failure to grow properly. Although many have committed wrongdoings, only a few atone for the industry's "sins."
From the perspective of established society, the crypto industry carries many "sins." It has absorbed tremendous capital, yet its intrinsic value has not grown proportionately. Like other young and immature industries, crime was rampant—part of its growing pains.
On September 29, CZ (Changpeng Zhao), co-founder and former CEO of Binance, will be released from four months of detention. While he has certainly made mistakes, his detention also carries a vicarious element, representing the industry's growing pains. CZ is a businessman deserving of respect. Without Binance, the crypto industry would not have attracted the immense global liquidity it benefits from today.
It's crucial to distinguish his merits from his faults clearly. In my view, @cz_binance's achievements far outweigh his mistakes. He has paid his fines, and his detention is nearing an end. The industry should begin to see him in a new light.
Bitcoin bottomed 547 days prior to the 2016 Halving but topped in its Bull Market 518 days after the 2016 Halving
Bitcoin bottomed 517 days prior to the 2020 Halving but topped in its Bull Market 549 days after the 2020 Halving
Bitcoin bottomed 517 days before the 2024 Halving but may very well top in its Bull Market ~549 days after the 2024 Halving
That's October 2025
History suggests two takeaways:
1. The Halving acts like a mirror. Bitcoin Bear Market Bottoms occur a similar amount of days prior to the Halving compared to the amount of days its takes for Bitcoin to form Bull Market Tops after the Halving
2. The best of the Bitcoin Bull Market is yet to come
My prediction is that Bitcoin is about to find a final bottom before entering a prolonged consolidation phase, trending upward for a significant period.
During this consolidation, I believe there will be an alt season that will strengthen the overall market and positively impact the shitcoins.
I believe we will have a nice Uptober next month and probably by end of September we will have a mini bull market on Shitcoins
$TOTAL Altcoin market cap really not looking as bad here but at a key level.
The recent flush lower definitely killed the lower timeframe momentum, but looking where this came from earlier this month, we're still on track to make a decent higher low around this area.
The real test will be whether this can break back above last week's highs which would also need $BTC to trade back above $65K again.
In my opinion, that would signal a larger timeframe reversal and likely an attempt for BTC to leave the range or at the very least test 70K+ again.
For now we're in the middle of it all, a 10% candle lower and everything looks awful. A 10% candle higher and things are looking great. It can really be that simple sometimes and that's why it's best to wait for more clarity.
Full Retrace V reversal of the Kamala crash for the indexes (Bitcoin)
Full retrace V reversal of the Kamala crash for the indexes now. A 4h bear div developing up here which may lead us into a smaller correction, but ultimately very nicely positioned for higher. We've had 2 major differences in PA with the indexes in crypto in the last couple of months. The first in June where the indexes ripped into fresh highs while we essentially inversely correlated with the move. Then again in July when the same was true again, but this time for crypto upside and index downsi
📊 Grayscale inflows up $4 million! 📈 This demand bodes well for the other #Bitcoin ETFs, potentially setting the stage for an exciting and bullish evening for $BTC