В этой статье хочу разобрать всю суть фьючерсов и поделиться своими выводами. Я на фьючах торгую более полугода и решил разобрать моменты которые на первый взгляд незаметны:
1. Кредитное плечо
Какой бы Х вы не поставили - он не увеличивает прибыль. Предположим у вас 200$, 100$ вы на споте покупаете $BTC по цене 100к, а другие 100$ вы открываете Лонг на тот же Btc по цене 100к с плечом Х10. Вы решили фиксировать прибыль в 10%, и на споте и на фьючах. То есть из 100$ ваш Профит составит 10$. Чтобы заработать 10 баксов на споте - биток должен вырасти на 10%, чтобы заработать 10 баксов на фьючах - биток должен вырасти на 1%. На фьючах прибыль будет считаться с суммы денег которые вы поставили, вне зависимости от плеча. Х просто сокращает разрыв цены между точкой входа и профитом. В итоге на фьючах вы не заработаете больше, вы заработаете быстрее.
2. Кросс маржа
В режиме кросс маржи с основного депозита начинает брать деньги как только RoI принимает отрицательное значение. Это не тот случай когда с основного депозита начнет подкидывать в маржу позиции уже при угрозе ликвидации, нет. Жрать начнет сразу же как только цена пойдет против вас. И чем больше будет отклонение не в вашу пользу, тем больше оно будет брать денег.
3. Закрытие позиции
При моментальном закрытии позиции кнопкой "закрыть" у вас комиссия будет сжирать огромный %. Причем как при закрытии в плюс так и в минус. Всегда закрывайте позицию либо профитом либо стопом.
4. Ликвидация
Кросс маржа не даёт вам большую ликвидацию чем изолированная. Проверьте сами. Откройте на кроссе позицию на все деньги, ничего не оставив на балансе кошелька фьючерсов. Ликвидация при кроссе показывается с учётом всего вашего депозита на фьючах.
5. Как работает Шорт
Вы одалживаете у биржы 1 BTC, тут же его продаете, например по цене 100к. Ждёте пока цена упадет например на 90к, покупаете 1 BTC и возвращаете его бирже, оставив 10к $ себе.
В заключении про фьючи могу сказать следующее:
Это граничит с лудоманией. Ликвидация это неизбежно - просто вопрос времени, даже при Х1. Единственная польза фьючей это возможность торговать в шорт. Сама вероятность потерять все деньги не оправдывает ни одну прибыль. Относитесь к этому как к игре, жертвуя не более 10$ в месяц.

First for COMPLETE begginers... 🤔
You probably barely know what $XRP is. And, because you see it buzzing all over, you just want to know if you should be bullish or bearish and invest on it (or not). So i will shortly tell you...
Simply put, the projectile of the asset is bullish. Eventhough I'm not the best analyst, this time, many would be with me on this. Regardless, do your research and try to learn as much as possible... or read along

Now, let's talk deep... 🔎
First, recent important NEWS 🗞
On Dec 2, XRP has surged over 40% in the previous 24 hours due to positive regulatory news. The New York Department of Financial Services is reportedly close to approving Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin, which could potentially spur further growth in XRP's value.There's ongoing speculation that the SEC might drop its legal case against Ripple Labs.XRP has now become the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.Independent Reserve has listed Ripple's USD-backed stablecoin, RLUSD, in Singapore

Current Market Status 🏛
XRP has experienced a remarkable increase 🚀 in value, with its market cap now exceeding $129 billion, positioning it as the fourth-largest cryptocurrency. This recent surge can be attributed to several factors, including the positive regulatory environment following the U.S. election and developments in Ripple's legal battles with the SEC. The anticipation around the approval of #RLUSD has also played a pivotal role, offering a boost to the broader ecosystem around XRP.
Market Dynamics 📊
Ripple's strategy of managing its large supply of XRP through escrow has historically impacted its price. The recent unlock of 500 million XRP tokens could have implications on market sentiment, depending on whether these tokens enter circulation or are re-escrowed.

Investor Sentiment 🤑
There are buzzes around short squeezes, potential price targets, and the impact of RLUSD transactions on XRP supply through burns. These discussions reflect a community optimistic about XRP's future but also alert to the risks of market manipulation or rapid sell-offs.
Macro-Economic Factors 🏦
With discussions around potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, there's an increased interest in tokenized money market funds, which could benefit XRP through platforms like RippleNet and its stablecoin, RLUSD. This could drive liquidity and utility for XRP.
The listing of RLUSD on exchanges like Independent Reserve in Singapore underscores Ripple's push into international markets 🤤, particularly where regulatory environments for cryptocurrencies are more defined. This could lead to broader use cases for XRP beyond just speculative trading.

Chart Structure Analysis 📉
XRP has demonstrated a bullish divergence on technical charts, suggesting that while the price may have been moving downward, the momentum indicators (like RSI) did not follow, hinting at a potential reversal to the upside.
Breakout from Downward Channel
There's been a clear breakout from a longer-term downward channel on the XRP/USD charts, indicating a shift in trend from bearish to potentially bullish. This was confirmed by a retest at the top of the channel, acting as a new support level.
Bullish Flag Pattern
On shorter timeframes (like 8-hour charts), a bullish flag pattern has been identified, which, if confirmed by a breakout, could push XRP towards significant resistance levels around $2.91 and $3.20.
'W' Pattern
On monthly charts, XRP has formed what appears to be a massive 'W' pattern, which some analysts interpret as a sign of a major bullish reversal with a technical target around $35.
RSI Bullish Cross
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP has shown a bullish cross, where the RSI line moves above its moving average, suggesting increasing buying pressure and potential for further price increases.

It All Comes Down to... 📃

Short-term⏰️
Analysts are watching for XRP to potentially test the $2.90 level, which was a local high just weeks ago. If the bullish trends continue, especially with the RSI confirmation, XRP might aim for new highs in the short term, some predict a move towards $3 or beyond.
Long-term⏳️
Long-term forecasts are more speculative but hinge on regulatory clarity, the success of Ripple's payment solutions like RLUSD, and the broader adoption of XRP in financial transactions. Projections have been made for XRP to possibly hit $35 by late 2025, though this would require a perfect storm of positive developments.

Lastly... XRP's recent chart structures suggest a bullish 🚀 setup with potential for significant price increases if current trends and market sentiments continue. However, investors should approach with caution, considering the crypto market's unpredictability.

Like I always say... carefully Bullish
If you made it this far... follow for more analysis like this.

#MarketRebound
#Crypto2025Trends