Coinspeaker QCP: Crypto to See Quiet Summer as Miners Witness Post-Halving Capitulation
Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital recently predicted a quiet summer for the crypto market with lower volatility due to lack of any major catalysts to drive the market in either direction.
On June 14, QCP released a market analysis on its Telegram channel noting that Bitcoin is facing difficulties in its recovery post-Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, despite a strong momentum in equities. It attributed this stagnant behavior to miner capitulation following the recent halving event.
Miner Capitulation
The halving, which reduced block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, has made it hard for miners to make profit. This financial pressure is leading miners to sell off their Bitcoin holdings, a phenomenon called miner capitulation, which typically exerts downward pressure on BTC prices.
The concern is underscored by a notable decline in the network hash rate, suggesting that less efficient miners are exiting the market due to decreased profitability. However, it’s important to note that the remaining miners often become more profitable as the difficulty adjusts. Data from Blockchain.com shows that the network hash rate has dropped from 657 EH/s on May 27 to 586 EH/s.
Adding to the market’s challenges, FlowBank, a Swiss bank involved in a triparty agreement with crypto exchange Binance, is currently undergoing bankruptcy proceedings. The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) stated that the bank had “seriously breached” operational standards required for banking and does not possess the minimum capital necessary for its business operations.
No Immediate Movement for Ether: QCP Capital
Meanwhile, the analysis states that Ethereum currently presents a strategic opportunity for traders. For the short term, QCP Capital reiterated its prediction of no major immediate price movements for ETH.
This is because Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler anticipates the approval of a spot ETH exchange-traded fund (ETF) by late summer. However, according to QCP, this could act as a significant catalyst for future price appreciation. It advises traders to consider accumulating Ether this quiet summer as long as its value is under $4,070. The report states:
“This is the ideal time to put on trades for accumulation for ETH. Currently ETH vols are trading at a 10 vol premium to BTC.”
QCP expects this spread to narrow as more Ether overwriters return to the market in anticipation of the S-1 Form approval later this summer.
Notably, in May, the SEC approved 19b-4 filings for Ether spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) from several major firms, including Grayscale, BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise, ARK 21Shares, VanEck, Franklin Templeton, and Invesco Galaxy. These financial giants are now gearing up for the approval of their S-1 Forms from the regulatory agency.
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QCP: Crypto to See Quiet Summer as Miners Witness Post-Halving Capitulation
