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已关注策略库
智能 策略库
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小白必学的缠论入门理论
缠论是由技术面和基本面分析组成的。
基本面主要有:
币价是历史的高位,还是历史的地位。
缠论认为,基本面确定好后,在一段时间内就不会有太大的变化。
而缠论的技术面分析是在无序的市场走势中建立起一套有序排列的结构,并用数学递归的方式,找出级别。
从中总结各级别走势类型的相似性和可复制性,并且证明绝对的可操作性。
缠论怎样快速入门?一个计划全搞定。
#比特币战略储备 $ETH
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$ETH As of April 23, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $1,794.21, marking a significant rebound from its recent lows. This surge represents a 5.84% increase over the previous close, with intraday trading ranging between $1,689.54 and $1,816.69. Key Factors Driving Ethereum’s Rally • Institutional Investment: Ethereum ETFs have seen substantial inflows, with $38.74 million added on April 22 alone. This marks the largest single-day inflow since February, ending an eight-week streak of outflows totaling $910 million. Major contributions came from Fidelity’s FETH and Bitwise’s ETHW, indicating renewed institutional confidence in Ethereum.  • Whale Accumulation: Significant purchases by large holders have been observed. Notably, a whale who previously incurred a $40 million loss on ETH returned to accumulate nearly 20,000 ETH. Such activity suggests strong belief in Ethereum’s long-term potential.  • Market Dynamics: The broader cryptocurrency market is experiencing a bullish trend, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading close to $93,500. This overall optimism is contributing to Ethereum’s upward momentum. • Technical Indicators: Ethereum has broken out of its previous trading range between $1,500 and $1,600, reaching levels above $1,800. Analysts suggest that if ETH can surpass resistance levels around $1,850 and $1,900, it may target the $2,000 mark in the near future.  These developments indicate a positive outlook for Ethereum, with institutional interest and market dynamics supporting its recent price surge.
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#MarketRebound Global markets experienced a significant rebound on April 23, 2025, driven by a combination of political developments and investor optimism.  📈 Market Rally Highlights • U.S. Stock Surge: The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared nearly 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each gained over 2%. This marked one of the most substantial single-day gains in recent months.  • Global Markets Follow Suit: European and Asian markets mirrored the U.S. rally, reflecting a widespread boost in investor confidence.  🏛️ Political Developments Fuel Optimism • Federal Reserve Stability: President Donald Trump clarified that he has no intention of dismissing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, alleviating concerns about the central bank’s independence.  • Easing Trade Tensions: Trump also indicated a willingness to reduce the 145% tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade war.  💡 Economic Indicators • Investor Sentiment: The combination of political stability and potential trade relief contributed to a surge in investor confidence, leading to increased market participation. • Safe-Haven Assets Decline: As equities gained, traditional safe-haven assets like gold saw a retreat, indicating a shift towards riskier investments.  This market rebound underscores the significant impact of political decisions on economic performance and investor behavior.
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$BTC Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Rally • Weakening U.S. Dollar: President Trump’s recent criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and calls for immediate interest rate cuts have led to a decline in the U.S. dollar’s value. This has prompted investors to seek alternative assets like Bitcoin as a hedge against currency devaluation.  • Institutional Investment: There has been a notable increase in institutional interest in Bitcoin. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced over $300 million in inflows, with firms like Strategy adding 6,556 BTC to their holdings. This institutional participation underscores growing confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition.  • Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators: Analysts observe that Bitcoin is trading above its 20- and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. The overall market sentiment has turned positive, with the Fear & Greed Index reflecting increased investor optimism.  Analysts suggest that if Bitcoin maintains its current momentum, it could test the $92,000 resistance level in the near term. Factors such as continued institutional investment, macroeconomic trends, and market sentiment will play crucial roles in determining Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks.  For a detailed analysis of Bitcoin’s recent performance and market trends, you might find the following video insightful:
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#SaylorBTCPurchase On April 21, 2025, Michael Saylor’s company, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), announced the acquisition of an additional 6,556 Bitcoin for approximately $555.8 million, averaging $84,785 per BTC. This purchase brings Strategy’s total holdings to 538,200 BTC, valued at around $47 billion at current market prices, representing over 2.5% of the total Bitcoin supply .   The acquisition was funded through the sale of 1.76 million shares of Class A common stock and over 91,000 shares of Series A preferred stock, generating net proceeds of approximately $555 million between April 14 and 20 .  Saylor reported a 12.1% year-to-date return on Strategy’s Bitcoin investments in 2025, reflecting the cryptocurrency’s bullish performance .  This move aligns with Strategy’s long-term goal of accumulating $42 billion in Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2027, underscoring its commitment to Bitcoin as a primary treasury asset .  The announcement coincided with Bitcoin’s price stabilizing around $88,000, indicating strong market confidence following the acquisition .  Saylor’s continued investment strategy reinforces his position as a leading advocate for corporate Bitcoin adoption. 
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#USChinaTensions As of April 21, 2025, tensions between the United States and China have escalated significantly, extending beyond trade disputes into broader geopolitical and economic arenas. Trade War Intensifies The U.S. has progressively increased tariffs on Chinese imports, reaching a peak of 145% in recent weeks. These measures began with a 10% baseline tariff in February 2025, escalating through successive hikes in March and April. China has responded with its own tariffs, now up to 125%, and has implemented additional measures such as halting exports of critical rare-earth elements and imposing restrictions on U.S. companies operating within China . Economic and Diplomatic Responses In response to these developments, China’s central bank has urged state-owned enterprises to prioritize the use of the yuan in international transactions, aiming to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar and promote the yuan’s global presence . Simultaneously, the Trump administration is focusing on enhancing domestic production of critical minerals, with Interior Secretary Doug Burgum highlighting efforts to increase rare-earth mining within the U.S. . Military and Strategic Developments The U.S. and the Philippines have commenced the annual Balikatan military exercises, involving approximately 14,000 troops from the U.S., Philippines, Australia, and Japan. These drills, which include simulations of island defense and maritime operations, are viewed as a strategic response to China’s activities in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait . China has expressed strong opposition to these exercises, citing concerns over regional stability. Additionally, reports indicate that China has instructed its airlines to halt deliveries of Boeing aircraft, exemplified by the return of a Boeing 737 Max intended for Xiamen Airlines to the U.S. . Global Implications The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has acknowledged that both the U.S. and China have legitimate trade grievances, emphasizing the need for cooperation to mitigate global economic uncertainty
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