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CryptoChan
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刻一波比特币短期持币者MVRV,正正好好差四年😏
指标链接👉charts.checkonchain.com/btconchain/unrealised/mvrv_sth/mvrv_sth_light.html
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16年牛市中期该指标出现峰值,距离17年年底牛顶相差354天 20年牛市中期该指标出现峰值,距离21上半年牛顶相差352天 24年牛市中期该指标出现峰值,距今已过去57天 图中上方指标为BTC价格;下方指标为比特币链上6-12个月没移动过的BTC数量占比(经Realized Cap加权,采用7日MA) 值得一提的是,历史上在此期间币价均经历3次大级别回调(图中蓝色箭头)
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【20241130︱BTC行情月报】牛市是一场伟大的撤退
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当下Line4已破,下波目标Line5😎($147553) 图中为新开发的比特币 Fibonacci-Terminal 定价模型,采用5道线将全历史币价从大底至大顶囊括划分,每道线分别基于斐波那契数列(3,5,8,13,21)以及比特币 Transferred Price 设计得出 当前—— Line5: $147553 Line4: $93742 Line3: $60111 Line2: $39932 Line1: $26479
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盲刻一手 17 & 21 年,牛市进度或许还剩4-7个月😎 图中上方指标为BTC价格;下方指标为BTC长期持有者筹码数量占BTC总量百分比
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神功再进,严选七大BTC牛顶定价指标😼,当前—— 🔴Curve-Fitted MVRV Price : $122818 🟠Deviation-Corrected MVRV Price : $124860 🟡Fibonacci Top Price : $127657 🟢Tradable Realized Price : $145307 🔵Pow Price : $171253 🟣Thermocap Price : $186090 🟤Terminal Price : $187504 此外加入柱形图,用以可视化币价突破指标数量
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