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展(ke)望(zhou)25年😏
图中上方指标为 #BTC 价格,下方指标为比特币链上180天内发生过移动的 #BTC 数量占比(数量经Realized Cap加权)
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BTC 突破 $7w+ 时,币价上摸 +1.0σ BTC 突破 $10w+ 时,币价上摸 +1.0σ 当前,+1.0σ(浅绿线)值为 $117,114 黑线:比特币价格 +2.0σ:经过比特币MVRV指标历史累计平均值的正2个标准差加权后的比特币已实现价格(Realized Price) +1.0σ:经过比特币MVRV指标历史累计平均值的正1个标准差加权后的比特币已实现价格(Realized Price) Mean:经过比特币MVRV指标历史累计平均值的±0个标准差加权后的比特币已实现价格(Realized Price) -0.5σ:经过比特币MVRV指标历史累计平均值的负0.5个标准差加权后的比特币已实现价格(Realized Price) -1.0σ:经过比特币MVRV指标历史累计平均值的负1个标准差加权后的比特币已实现价格(Realized Price)
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BTC【七线积分逃顶法】简述 当前—— Std-Adjusted MVRV Price: $145,455 Std-Adjusted STH-MVRV Price: $148,281 Fib-Adjusted Balanced Price: $158,064 Tradable Realized Price: $162,894 Curve-Fitted Median MVRV Price: $199,089 Fib-Adjusted Miner Revenue Price: $204,838 Fib-Adjusted Transferred Price: $223,862 值得一提的是—— 2013年牛顶附近,币价累计突破7条线129次 2017年牛顶附近,币价累计突破7条线103次 2021第一顶附近,币价累计突破7条线101次 注: 1⃣ Std-Adjusted MVRV Price 是基于对比特币MVRV指标的正标准差设计得出; 2⃣ Std-Adjusted STH-MVRV Price 是基于对比特币短期持有者MVRV指标的正标准差设计得出; 3⃣ Fib-Adjusted Balanced Price 是通过将比特币均衡价格 (Balanced Price) 以斐波那契数列倍数化设计得出; 4⃣ Tradable Realized Price 是基于已实现市值 (Realized Cap) 和链上流动性筹码设计得出; 5⃣ Curve-Fitted Median MVRV Price 是通过对比特币中位数MVRV的历轮周期峰值进行曲线(函数)拟合设计得出; 6⃣ Fib-Adjusted Miner Revenue Price 是通过将比特币矿工挖矿美元收入以斐波那契数列倍数化设计得出; 7⃣ Fib-Adjusted Transferred Price 是通过将比特币转移价格 (Transferred Price) 以斐波那契数列倍数化设计得出
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BTC【五线图】更新,当前—— Line 5: $196,679 Line 4: $124,484 Line 3: $79,362 Line 2: $52,289 Line 1: $34,240 图中为一套比特币价格大周期模型,该模型基于币天销毁 (Coin Days Destroyed) 、总流通量 (Liquid Supply) 、已实现价格 (Realized Price) 等链上数据设计得出,使用5道线将全历史币价从大顶至大底完整囊括划分
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【指标更新】山寨大反转,火热进行中😉
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兄弟们我们熬出头了!😏
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