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KEY RELEVANT INCOMING DATA FOR #BTC AND CRYPTO MARKETS CYCLICAL TRENDS
Taking into account that $BTC and $ETH as key crypto benchmarks tend to follow liquidity cycles, it is then highly relevant to point out that these upcoming two Fridays there will be incoming key data readings most likely to influence crypto markets, namely:
-Friday February 28th: PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure), which is the US Federal Reserve's preferred gauge for inflation, thereby most likely to significantly end up influencing the future path for interest rate decisions and by extension liquidity trends
-Friday March 7th: NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls), which reflects key data for labor markets and is often seen as a benchmark regarding the anticipation of potential recession fears
In both cases, readings above expectations might trigger even further downward pressure on financial markets in general and crypto markets in particular, since this might actually lead the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer, therefore becoming indeed highly relevant to keep track of in real time
#Write2Earn #USData #ETH
Taking into account that $BTC and $ETH as key crypto benchmarks tend to follow liquidity cycles, it is then highly relevant to point out that these upcoming two Fridays there will be incoming key data readings most likely to influence crypto markets, namely:
-Friday February 28th: PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure), which is the US Federal Reserve's preferred gauge for inflation, thereby most likely to significantly end up influencing the future path for interest rate decisions and by extension liquidity trends
-Friday March 7th: NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls), which reflects key data for labor markets and is often seen as a benchmark regarding the anticipation of potential recession fears
In both cases, readings above expectations might trigger even further downward pressure on financial markets in general and crypto markets in particular, since this might actually lead the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer, therefore becoming indeed highly relevant to keep track of in real time
#Write2Earn #USData #ETH
U.S. Economic Data & the Impact on Bitcoin: What’s Next?
Yesterday's non-farm payroll data was nothing short of remarkable, with the American economy surpassing expectations. Instead of a mild slowdown, the economy seems to be in a period of accelerated growth. The forecast was 16, yet the actual figure came in at an impressive 25.6. While this data may raise some eyebrows, the market has reacted strongly, with the probability of interest rate cuts dropping from three to two. U.S. Treasury yields have surged to 4.7%, prompting some investors to consider the allure of nearly 5% risk-free annual returns. This shift has left many questioning the Fed's next moves.
The central debate now revolves around whether the Federal Reserve will actually reduce interest rates. While rate hikes tend to pull investors away from high-risk assets, like Bitcoin, toward safer, higher-yielding investments, the situation is more nuanced. Looking back at the bull runs of 2017 and 2021, we see that Bitcoin flourished even amidst both interest rate hikes and cuts. Historical data reveals that there’s no clear or significant link between the Fed’s rate changes and Bitcoin’s price movements.
What’s critical here is that the essence of Bitcoin remains unchanged, irrespective of rate hikes or cuts. Over the past few days, long-term holders have maintained their positions, with the market showing a degree of stabilization. The Greed Index has increased from 50 to 69, indicating heightened investor optimism, while market capitalization ratios are trending upwards. Despite significant ETF outflows due to recent price declines, the fundamentals remain intact.
In conclusion, the decline in interest rate cut expectations does not signify the end of the bull market. Bitcoin operates on a four-year cycle, driven by the speculative nature of altcoins, massive sell-offs by long-term holders, and a market capitalization ratio that is poised to return to 40. With these dynamics in play, the current
market momentum suggests that the bull run still has room to run.
#BitcoinAnalysis #InterestRates #USData #CryptoMarketTrends
#EconomicGrowth
The central debate now revolves around whether the Federal Reserve will actually reduce interest rates. While rate hikes tend to pull investors away from high-risk assets, like Bitcoin, toward safer, higher-yielding investments, the situation is more nuanced. Looking back at the bull runs of 2017 and 2021, we see that Bitcoin flourished even amidst both interest rate hikes and cuts. Historical data reveals that there’s no clear or significant link between the Fed’s rate changes and Bitcoin’s price movements.
What’s critical here is that the essence of Bitcoin remains unchanged, irrespective of rate hikes or cuts. Over the past few days, long-term holders have maintained their positions, with the market showing a degree of stabilization. The Greed Index has increased from 50 to 69, indicating heightened investor optimism, while market capitalization ratios are trending upwards. Despite significant ETF outflows due to recent price declines, the fundamentals remain intact.
In conclusion, the decline in interest rate cut expectations does not signify the end of the bull market. Bitcoin operates on a four-year cycle, driven by the speculative nature of altcoins, massive sell-offs by long-term holders, and a market capitalization ratio that is poised to return to 40. With these dynamics in play, the current
market momentum suggests that the bull run still has room to run.
#BitcoinAnalysis #InterestRates #USData #CryptoMarketTrends
#EconomicGrowth
🚨 Big Market Movement Tonight! 🚨
At 9:30 PM (EST), the highly anticipated U.S. Employment and Unemployment Rate Data will be released — a key factor in shaping crypto market trends.
📊 Expectations:
Unemployment rate predicted to drop from 25.6 to 15.8
If employment numbers decline, it could be positive news for the market
A cooling labor market may give the Federal Reserve a reason to consider interest rate cuts, easing pressure on financial markets
🔍 Key Clues So Far:
✅ Wednesday: ADP Employment rose from 12.2 to 18.3 (Negative for markets)
✅ Thursday: Initial jobless claims increased from 20.7 to 21.9 (Positive for markets)
⚠️ Prediction: Contradictory signals mean tonight’s data remains highly unpredictable! The outcome could trigger massive volatility in crypto markets.
💡 Our Strategy:
Wait for confirmation — let the numbers guide your trading moves. Stay updated and watch for key insights as soon as the results drop!
#CryptoMoves #MarketWatch #TradingStrategy #USData #VolatilityAlert
At 9:30 PM (EST), the highly anticipated U.S. Employment and Unemployment Rate Data will be released — a key factor in shaping crypto market trends.
📊 Expectations:
Unemployment rate predicted to drop from 25.6 to 15.8
If employment numbers decline, it could be positive news for the market
A cooling labor market may give the Federal Reserve a reason to consider interest rate cuts, easing pressure on financial markets
🔍 Key Clues So Far:
✅ Wednesday: ADP Employment rose from 12.2 to 18.3 (Negative for markets)
✅ Thursday: Initial jobless claims increased from 20.7 to 21.9 (Positive for markets)
⚠️ Prediction: Contradictory signals mean tonight’s data remains highly unpredictable! The outcome could trigger massive volatility in crypto markets.
💡 Our Strategy:
Wait for confirmation — let the numbers guide your trading moves. Stay updated and watch for key insights as soon as the results drop!
#CryptoMoves #MarketWatch #TradingStrategy #USData #VolatilityAlert
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