Not even penguins were spared from Donald Trump's tariffs, with the remote Heard Islands in Oceania, home only to penguins, being included in the US tariff list. The move aimed to prevent the islands from becoming a free trade zone and a hub for exports evading tariffs. Meanwhile, Colombia initially faced uncertainty due to Trump's tariff threats but is expected to benefit significantly from its proximity to the US and relatively low tariffs compared to other nations, such as Vietnam, which faces a 56% tariff rate. This could boost Colombia's competitiveness starting in 2026.
Several factors contribute to Colombia's economic resilience: - Prudent management by the Central Bank*: Effective handling of foreign currency reserves and gold sales. - Tourism sector growth*: Increased tourism activity supports the local economy. - High oil prices*: Colombia benefits from the current high oil prices. - Record remittances*: Historically high levels of remittances from abroad.
These factors have strengthened the Colombian peso against the US dollar, with an expected exchange rate of around 4,300 pesos per dollar in 2025
In Colombia, the monetary policy interest rate remains at 9.5% since December. However, it is still above the 3% target set by the Bank of the Republic. It is expected that inflation will continue to decrease gradually towards the target over the next two years.
Colombia's economic activity has also shown signs of recovery, with growth of 1.8% in 2024. It is expected that this growth will accelerate in 2025 and 2026, reaching a level close to its productive capacity in 2026.
Regarding interest rates for loans, these vary depending on the type of loan. Consumer and ordinary loans have an effective annual interest rate of 17.53%, while large productive loans have an effective annual interest rate of 27.15%
In summary, the monetary policy interest rate in Colombia remains at 9.5% to support economic recovery and control inflation. Inflation has decreased significantly, but is still above the 3% target. Economic activity has shown signs of recovery and is expected to continue growing in the coming years.
In a surprise turn of events, the Colombian peso (COP) has emerged as a top performer in the foreign exchange market. Despite being a traditionally volatile currency, the COP has shown remarkable resilience and strength in recent weeks.
According to market analysts, the COP's winning streak can be attributed to a combination of factors, including a surge in oil prices, a stable political environment, and a robust economic growth outlook. As a result, investors have been flocking to the COP, driving up its value against major currencies such as the US dollar. My prediction for the the dollar in March is 4.070 pesos and the Euro 4.235 pesos
Looking ahead, experts predict that the COP will continue to win for the next few weeks. With oil prices expected to remain high and the Colombian economy showing signs of continued growth, the COP is likely to remain a top performer in the foreign exchange market. As such, investors and traders would do well to keep a close eye on the COP's movements in the coming weeks.
DIPLOMATIC CRISIS WILL INCREASE DOLLAR IN COLOMBIA
The tariffs from President Trump are expected to lead to a sharp devaluation of the Colombian peso back to 4.400 pesos in the next few days, making imports more expensive and potentially triggering higher inflation.
This, in turn, will cause the dollar to jump in value against the peso. In fact, the Colombian peso has already been the most devalued emerging market currency over the past month, with a devaluation of over 5%
The impact of the tariffs will be felt across various sectors of the Colombian economy, including manufacturing, agriculture, and services. The Colombian government will need to take swift action to mitigate the effects of the tariffs and prevent a sharp decline in economic growth.
El alza del petrĂłleo ha sido uno de los factores que ha generado incertidumbre en el DĂłlar.
La baja del dĂłlar en Colombia se debe en parte a la venta a precios altos del barril de crudo, manteniendose sobre los 75 USD de forma prolongada; coincidiendo con el alza de Remesas hacia el paĂs del 15% en 2024. AdemĂĄs, el Banco de Republica obtuvo ganancias por mĂĄs de 100 millones de dĂłlares al finalizar el aĂąo. Mi predicciĂłn es que el dĂłlar se situarĂĄ sobre los 4.300 pesos en los prĂłximos dĂas, pero con un ligero rebote(alzista) el 18 o 19 de enero, debido a la posesiĂłn de Trump en la presidencia americana.
"El Yuan chino: un descenso inevitable en los prĂłximos 6 meses"
El Yuan chino, tambiĂŠn conocido como Renminbi (RMB), ha estado experimentando una tendencia a la baja en los Ăşltimos meses. SegĂşn los analistas, esta tendencia se mantendrĂĄ en los prĂłximos 6 meses debido a las polĂticas de liquidez implementadas por el gobierno central chino.
El gobierno chino ha estado inyectando liquidez en la economĂa a travĂŠs de la emisiĂłn de bonos y recortes de impuestos. Esto ha llevado a un aumento en la oferta de dinero en la economĂa, lo que a su vez ha presionado a la baja el valor del Yuan.
AdemĂĄs, la economĂa china ha estado experimentando un crecimiento mĂĄs lento en los Ăşltimos aĂąos, lo que ha llevado a un aumento en la presiĂłn sobre el gobierno para implementar polĂticas de estĂmulo. Sin embargo, estas polĂticas pueden tener un impacto negativo en el valor del Yuan en el corto plazo.
"Central Banks Embracing Bitcoin: A New Era of Adoption"
In a significant shift, central banks around the world are increasingly embracing Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Once viewed with skepticism, Bitcoin is now being recognized as a legitimate store of value and a potential tool for monetary policy. #BTCNewATH
The Central Bank of Sweden, for example, has announced plans to launch a digital currency, the e-krona, which will be based on blockchain technology. Similarly, the Bank of England has launched a research project to explore the potential of central bank-issued digital currencies.
Other central banks, such as those in Singapore, China, and Japan, are also exploring the use of blockchain technology and digital currencies. This growing interest in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies reflects a recognition of their potential to increase efficiency, reduce costs, and improve financial inclusion.
As central banks continue to explore the potential of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, we can expect to see increased adoption and integration into mainstream financial systems. Therefore, my prediction on $BTC is 150.000 by February 2025
Instead, BlackRock is focusing on expanding the reach of its Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which have seen impressive inflows since their launch earlier this year.
Personally, I believe all they're doing is pushing the price of XRP down so they can buy it a lot cheaper. I think XRP has a lot of upside still, but it will correct between 20 and 30% before going up at least up to 5 dollars in 2025, which make it perfect for accumulation purposes and a windfall of at least 2X in the next 6 months.
EURO PARA EL EURO EN 2025 EURO EN EL 2025 Dada las actuales condiciones globales, vaticino un doble escenario en euro versus el dĂłlar. Si el Euro rebasa la resistencia de 1.06 dĂłlares, tendremos una subida del 5%. ÂżQue significa esto para los europeos? Una menor inflaciĂłn, y una mayor capacidad adquisitiva para viajar a paises como Estados Unidos en el 2025.
Pero el Euro baja de 1.05, el siguiente escenario serĂĄ el siguiente:
Por un lado, el aumento en los precios de las importaciones podrĂa llevar a una disminuciĂłn en el poder adquisitivo del consumidor. Por otro lado, la subida del dĂłlar tambiĂŠn podrĂa afectar la disponibilidad de ciertos productos, ya que las empresas europeas podrĂan decidir no importar productos que se vuelvan demasiado caros debido al cambio en el tipo de cambio. En este momento el euro se encuentra alrededor de 1.05 centavos de dĂłlar.
En resumen, la subida del dĂłlar en Europa podrĂa tener un impacto significativo en el consumidor, ya que podrĂa llevar a un aumento en los precios de las importaciones, una disminuciĂłn en el poder adquisitivo y una posible disminuciĂłn en la disponibilidad de ciertos productos. Es importante que los consumidores estĂŠn al tanto de estos cambios y ajusten sus hĂĄbitos de consumo en consecuencia. Mi predicciĂłn es que Euro caerĂĄ 5% en los prĂłximos 6 meses.
In the world of cryptocurrencies, Ripple (XRP) has been one of the most popular and controversial assets in recent years. Despite its volatility, many investors and experts believe that XRP has the potential to reach new highs in the future.
One of the most ambitious goals for XRP is to reach $5 . Although it may seem like a distant goal, there are several reasons why this could be possible. Firstly, XRP has demonstrated great resilience in the market over the years. Despite market fluctuations, XRP has managed to maintain its value and remains one of the most popular cryptocurrencies in the world.
Secondly, Ripple, the company behind XRP, has been working hard to expand its reach and improve its technology. The company has established partnerships with some of the world's most important financial institutions, which has helped to increase the adoption of XRP.
Thirdly, the cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving. As more people and businesses begin to use cryptocurrencies, it is likely that the value of XRP will increase.
Although reaching $5 may seem like an ambitious goal, there are several scenarios that could make this possible. For example, if Ripple manages to establish partnerships with more financial institutions and increase the adoption of XRP, the value of the cryptocurrency could increase significantly.
Additionally, if the cryptocurrency market experiences a surge similar to the one in 2017, it is likely that the value of XRP will increase along with other cryptocurrencies.
In conclusion, although reaching $5 this year or in the first quarter of 2025 is very possible.$XRP
$$Dogecoin The Unstoppable Rise of Dogecoin: The Trump Effect and the Alliance with Elon Musk
Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency that started as a joke in 2013, continues to surprise investors with its impressive rise. Despite its humorous origins, Dogecoin has proven to be a cryptocurrency with great growth potential.
The "Trump effect" is one of the factors contributing to this rise. The uncertainty and volatility generated by the policies of the former U.S. president have led many investors to seek refuge in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies.
Additionally, the alliance between Elon Musk and Donald Trump has generated significant interest in Dogecoin. Musk, known for his influence in the cryptocurrency market, has expressed his support for Dogecoin on several occasions. The alliance with Trump could lead to greater recognition and adoption of Dogecoin. With these factors at play, it is likely that Dogecoin will continue to rise up to 1 USD by December 2024#DogecoinCommunity #dogeâĄ
Colombia, a lo largo de su historia, ha demostrado una falta de preparaciĂłn frente a diversas emergencias, como incendios forestales, derrumbes y sequĂas. Esta vulnerabilidad se ha puesto de manifiesto una vez mĂĄs ante la reciente ola interna de inundaciones que estĂĄ causando estragos en departamentos como ChocĂł y La Guajira. La situaciĂłn es crĂtica y sus consecuencias sobre la economĂa nacional podrĂan ser devastadoras.
El impacto inmediato de estas inundaciones incluye la escasez de alimentos, ya que las ĂĄreas agrĂcolas afectadas no pueden producir ni transportar sus productos. La destrucciĂłn de infraestructura vital, como puentes y carreteras, debido a su pobre mantenimiento, agrava aĂşn mĂĄs esta crisis. Estos factores combinados estĂĄn llevando a una desaceleraciĂłn significativa de la economĂa colombiana.
En este contexto, el valor del dĂłlar estadounidense ha experimentado un aumento considerable. La incertidumbre econĂłmica y la falta de confianza en la capacidad del gobierno para manejar estos desastres han impulsado a los inversionistas a buscar refugio en monedas mĂĄs estables. La devaluaciĂłn del peso colombiano frente al dĂłlar aĂąade presiĂłn a una economĂa ya tambaleante.
Las consecuencias del ascenso del dĂłlar no se limitan a la esfera econĂłmica. Los precios de los bienes importados se disparan, afectando el costo de vida de los ciudadanos. AdemĂĄs, el incremento en los costos de importaciĂłn de insumos para la industria nacional podrĂa ralentizar aĂşn mĂĄs la producciĂłn y la recuperaciĂłn econĂłmica.
Para enfrentar estos desafĂos, es imperativo que Colombia desarrolle estrategias robustas y sostenibles para la gestiĂłn de emergencias. La inversiĂłn en infraestructura y el fortalecimiento de las polĂticas de respuesta ante desastres son esenciales para mitigar los impactos futuros y mejorar la resiliencia del paĂs frente a eventos climĂĄticos extremos.
La implementaciĂłn de polĂticas por parte de Donald Trump desde su primer dĂa en el cargo en enero, como la expulsiĂłn de alrededor de 8 millones de inmigrantes indocumentados a sus paĂses de origen, tendrĂĄ un impacto significativo en las remesas de dĂłlares a paĂses latinoamericanos. Esto, a su vez, depreciarĂĄ las monedas extranjeras debido a un aumento en el desempleo, menor consumo local y alta inflaciĂłn en AmĂŠrica Latina.
SegĂşn expertos, la reducciĂłn de remesas afectarĂĄ negativamente la economĂa de paĂses como MĂŠxico, que dependen en gran medida de las remesas de sus ciudadanos en el extranjero. Esto podrĂa llevar a una disminuciĂłn en la demanda de bienes y servicios, lo que a su vez afectarĂa la estabilidad econĂłmica de la regiĂłn
AdemĂĄs, la polĂtica comercial de Trump, que incluye aranceles a productos importados de China y otros paĂses, tambiĂŠn podrĂa tener un impacto negativo en las monedas extranjeras. Los aranceles podrĂan aumentar los precios de los bienes importados, lo que reducirĂa la demanda y afectarĂa la economĂa de los paĂses exportadores
En resumen, las polĂticas de Trump podrĂan tener un efecto significativo en las monedas extranjeras, especialmente en AmĂŠrica Latina, debido a la reducciĂłn de remesas y la polĂtica comercial proteccionista.
*Consecuencias econĂłmicas*
- ReducciĂłn de remesas: disminuciĂłn en la cantidad de dinero que los inmigrantes envĂan a sus familias en AmĂŠrica Latina. - Aumento del desempleo: reducciĂłn en la demanda de bienes y servicios debido a la disminuciĂłn de remesas. - InflaciĂłn: aumento en los precios de los bienes importados debido a los aranceles.
Just as I predicted, #BITCOIN on its way to 80K USD If you want to support my channel please subscribe, LIKE or send Gift if you wish. Thanks!
CryptoLatino
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Bullish
*Bitcoin in Full Price Discovery: Predicted to Surge
Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a remarkable journey this year, breaking past several key resistance levels. I predict that Bitcoin could reach $80,000 in coming weeks, driven by a combination of factors including increased institutional adoption, positive market sentiment, and the recent presidential winning elections of DonaldTrump.
This trend, combined with recent market momentum, indicates that Bitcoin is reaching the $80,000 in November 2024
*Bitcoin in Full Price Discovery: Predicted to Surge Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a remarkable journey this year, breaking past several key resistance levels. I predict that Bitcoin could reach $80,000 in coming weeks, driven by a combination of factors including increased institutional adoption, positive market sentiment, and the recent presidential winning elections of DonaldTrump.
This trend, combined with recent market momentum, indicates that Bitcoin is reaching the $80,000 in November 2024
La subida del euro en Colombia, que se preveo que seguirĂĄ subiendo en noviembre de 2024; se debe a varios factores econĂłmicos y polĂticos. Uno de los principales es la balanza de exportaciĂłn con Europa, donde productos clave como petrĂłleo, cafĂŠ, bananos y aguacates Hass han visto una reducciĂłn en comparaciĂłn con el aĂąo 2023. Esta disminuciĂłn de exportaciones afecta negativamente la entrada de divisas al paĂs, debilitando la moneda local frente al euro. Otro factor relevante es el incremento de l
El #dĂłlar estadounidense rompiĂł la barrera de los 4,400 pesos colombianos #cop en la sesiĂłn de hoy, debido a la baja en los precios del petrĂłleo en los mercados internacionales. Esta caĂda en el precio del crudo ha generado una mayor demanda por la divisa estadounidense, lo que ha presionado al alza su valor.
Mi predicciĂłn es que el dĂłlar $USDC podrĂa subir aĂşn mĂĄs, alcanzando niveles de hasta 4,500 pesos en las prĂłximas semanas. Esto se debe a que la economĂa colombiana sigue siendo vulnerable a los cambios en los precios del petrĂłleo, principal producto de exportaciĂłn del paĂs.
La subida del dĂłlar tendrĂĄ un impacto significativo en la economĂa colombiana, especialmente en los sectores de importaciĂłn y exportaciĂłn. Los consumidores tambiĂŠn sentirĂĄn el efecto en sus bolsillos, ya que los precios de los productos importados aumentarĂĄn. El gobierno y el Banco de la RepĂşblica deberĂĄn tomar medidas para mitigar el impacto de esta subida del dĂłlar.
MĂŠxico's political risk has driven the dollar's value higher in Latin AmĂŠrica. Policy uncertainty and tensions between the government and private sector have weakened the Mexican peso. Investors seek safer assets, boosting demand for the dollar. This trend ripples across Latin AmĂŠrica, where currencies are closely tied to the peso. Argentina, Colombia, and Chile's currencies have also depreciated. A strong dollar increases import costs, fueling inflation concerns. Central banks may raise interest rates to stabilize their currencies. MĂŠxico's political climate will continue shaping the region's economic outlook, influencing dollar pricing and trade dynamics in Latin AmĂŠrica. $USDC