Bitcoin is back below $30,000 but firmly holding above support at $29,000. Although many investors are showing withdrawal symptoms due to the market doldrums, $BTC price appears to be preparing for a major leg up.
Notably, the falling wedge pattern is a bullish formation that occurs when the price of an asset declines within a narrow range, forming a wedge-like shape on the chart.
The pattern indicates that selling pressure in #bitcoin markets is weakening and that the buyers are ready to take control.
To trade this pattern, investors should ideally look for a breakout above the upper trend line of the wedge somewhere around $29,400 in the case of Bitcoin – a move that confirms the bullish momentum.
Such a breakout is usually accompanied by a spike in volume, which adds validity to the signal. The target price would be estimated by measuring the height of the wedge and projecting it from the breakout point.
For instance, for long positions activated above 29,400 investors could anticipate a 5.77% climb to $31,074.
#BTC /USD daily price chart | Tradingview
Realize that BTC needs a catalyst to rise above the stubborn resistance at $30,000 to start the run-up to the end year and a pre-halving rally likely to propel it above $40,000.
With that in mind, retail investors are likely to use the falling wedge pattern breakout as confirmation of a substantial leg up.
Likely to add credence to the bullish outlook is a potential buy signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator.
BTC Price Pain Before Gain
The investors in Bitcoin are at the moment praying for news that a breakout has occurred above $30,000 but may have to first swallow the bitter pill of a drop to collect liquidity at lower levels possibly below $29,000 but ideally not lower than $28,000 for short-term movements.
Based on the four-chart, Bitcoin holds below all the major moving averages, including the 200-day EMA (purple) at $29,432, the 100-day EMA (blue) at 29,386, and the 50-day EMA (red) at $29,372.
This position suggests that bears have the upper hand and with the MACD almost validating a sell signal in the same timeframe, BTC could close the day hovering around $29,000.
Several times Bitcoin has sought liquidity at $29,000 but failed to gather enough to propel it above $30,000.
“Bitcoin prices are infamously volatile, however, the market is currently experiencing an extreme volatility compression,” Glassnode told investors on Monday. “Whilst options markets reflect this, it suggests that Bitcoin is either no longer infamously volatile… or volatility could be mispriced.”
Therefore, a drop to $28,000 might expose the coin to buyers who would be willing to bet on a tactical rebound.
August 15, 2023 by John Isige
