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昨日(3 JUN)美国制造业 PMI 录得 48.7 ,低于预期和前值,同时,亚特兰大联储 GDPNow 模型将美国第二季度 GDP 增速从 2.7% 下调至 1.8% ,共同揭示了近期美国经济数据走软的现象。美债收益率持续走低,十年期收益率连续第五天收跌,现报 4.382% ,对利率政策敏感的两年期收益率勉强维持在 4.8% 上方。展望本周,接下来最重要的数据当属周五的非农,除此之外,下周三晚的 CPI 和 FOMC 会议也会是市场关注的焦点。
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数字货币方面,BTC 昨日在突破 68500 阻力位以后持续上行,一度突破 70000 美元关口,但很快从高点回调,并在随后的三小时里持续震荡,期间恰逢纽约证券交易所发生技术故障,多支股票下跌超过 99% 。
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期权方面,昨日 ETH Vol Surface 全线大幅走陡下降,可能一方面是相对 BTC 来说 ETH 近几天表现并不太好,价格缓慢走低到了 3800 美元以下;另外期权前端上看涨期权的卖压也迫使 IV 和 RR 走低,市场的买涨需求主要仍落在六月底以后,期待以太坊现货 ETF 带来新的需求。
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