General Analysis of Newly Listed Assets on Binance:

Scenario 1

If it's a new asset where it's first time traded and price determination is done from Binance

If over bought by Binance and VIPs at different layers prior to launch

If Marketed like mad which results in no fair value when listed

If the listing showing higher percentage open price where small retail investors have no access to fairly determine thw price by providing fair access to the market.

Outcome:

Early Retail investors will lose and have a 15% chance that the price will go beyond within the next 8-30 days which is usually the normalization phase Subject to the next point.

Does the project have sufficient funds to ensure to drive better outcome with staked Early investors to ensure there is no dump.

Results:

Probability of VIP investors making a gain is 75%

Probability of small retail investors making a gain is 15%

Scenario 2

I will share my analysis in upcoming post for assets which are already traded and price is already determined and only launched on Binance.

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