According to CryptoPotato, Ethereum's price has been experiencing increased selling activity after a period of consolidation and corrective movements, leading to a slight decline toward the 100-day moving average. The key question is whether Ethereum sellers will manage to break below this significant moving average.
A detailed analysis of the daily chart reveals that following an extended phase of corrective retracements, with the price testing the critical resistance region of $3.2K, the market experienced heightened selling pressure, resulting in a slight downturn. Consequently, the Ethereum price is now testing a crucial support level marked by the 100-day moving average at $3086. This range holds significance as it typically attracts considerable demand, potentially limiting further downward pressure from sellers. However, given the current market sentiment and recent price action, Ethereum appears to lack sufficient momentum and buying activity, increasing the likelihood of a new bearish trend in the short term.
A closer examination of the 4-hour chart reveals that following a period of sideways consolidation near the lower boundary of the wedge pattern, which aligns with the support region around $3K, the price experienced notable buying pressure, leading to a bullish reversal. This intensified demand resulted in a significant surge towards a critical resistance region, encompassing the 0.5 ($3234) and 0.618 ($3324) Fibonacci levels. However, sellers regained control and halted the upward momentum, causing a renewed bearish downturn, indicating a notable bearish sign for the market.
With Ethereum’s price failing to surpass the $3.7K level, investors may be interested in understanding the behavior of futures market traders. The 14-day moving average of the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, a metric that gauges the aggressiveness of buyers relative to sellers, has been on a sharp decline over the past few weeks. Moreover, the ratio has recently been steadily decreasing, nearing its lowest point since September 2022. This downward trend is concerning and suggests that Ethereum’s bearish trend could last in the mid-term if current conditions persist.