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“85”事件四个月纪念,应该是2024年最慌时刻了🐶
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CryptoChan
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BTC【七线积分逃顶法】简述 当前—— Std-Adjusted MVRV Price: $145,455 Std-Adjusted STH-MVRV Price: $148,281 Fib-Adjusted Balanced Price: $158,064 Tradable Realized Price: $162,894 Curve-Fitted Median MVRV Price: $199,089 Fib-Adjusted Miner Revenue Price: $204,838 Fib-Adjusted Transferred Price: $223,862 值得一提的是—— 2013年牛顶附近,币价累计突破7条线129次 2017年牛顶附近,币价累计突破7条线103次 2021第一顶附近,币价累计突破7条线101次 注: 1⃣ Std-Adjusted MVRV Price 是基于对比特币MVRV指标的正标准差设计得出; 2⃣ Std-Adjusted STH-MVRV Price 是基于对比特币短期持有者MVRV指标的正标准差设计得出; 3⃣ Fib-Adjusted Balanced Price 是通过将比特币均衡价格 (Balanced Price) 以斐波那契数列倍数化设计得出; 4⃣ Tradable Realized Price 是基于已实现市值 (Realized Cap) 和链上流动性筹码设计得出; 5⃣ Curve-Fitted Median MVRV Price 是通过对比特币中位数MVRV的历轮周期峰值进行曲线(函数)拟合设计得出; 6⃣ Fib-Adjusted Miner Revenue Price 是通过将比特币矿工挖矿美元收入以斐波那契数列倍数化设计得出; 7⃣ Fib-Adjusted Transferred Price 是通过将比特币转移价格 (Transferred Price) 以斐波那契数列倍数化设计得出
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BTC【五线图】更新,当前—— Line 5: $196,679 Line 4: $124,484 Line 3: $79,362 Line 2: $52,289 Line 1: $34,240 图中为一套比特币价格大周期模型,该模型基于币天销毁 (Coin Days Destroyed) 、总流通量 (Liquid Supply) 、已实现价格 (Realized Price) 等链上数据设计得出,使用5道线将全历史币价从大顶至大底完整囊括划分
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【指标更新】山寨大反转,火热进行中😉
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兄弟们我们熬出头了!😏
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【BTC链上指标更新】 16年牛市中期该指标出现峰值,距离17年年底牛顶相差354天 20年牛市中期该指标出现峰值,距离21上半年牛顶相差352天 24年牛市中期该指标出现峰值,距今已过去213天 值得一提的是,历史上在此期间币价均经历3次大级别回调(图中蓝圈) 图中上方指标为比特币价格;下方指标为比特币链上6-12个月没移动过的比特币数量占比(经 Realized Cap 加权)
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