Trump Trade Risks Grow as Bitcoin Gains Near $100

  • U.S. stocks and the dollar surge, but bond market risks loom ahead in December.

  • Bitcoin’s 37% rally raises questions about sustainability amid speculative risks.

  • Euro, peso, and yuan struggle as global currencies react to Trump’s policies.

The financial markets showed sharp fluctuations after Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 U.S. election. November saw clear winners and losers across asset classes, as U.S. stocks surged, the dollar strengthened, and Bitcoin’s price climbed sharply.

However, December could bring heightened volatility, with growing risks for U.S. equities and global currencies. Analysts warn that the Trump trade, which benefited U.S. assets while pressuring European exporters and emerging market currencies, may face challenges. Trump’s fiscal policies could trigger a bond market backlash and rising inflation, complicating the global outlook.

Currency Markets Face Mounting Pressure

The euro recorded its steepest monthly drop since early 2022, sliding nearly 3% to around $1.05. This decline stemmed from risks tied to U.S. tariffs, political uncertainty in Germany and France, and slowing regional growth.

Mexico’s peso …

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